SMRC Survey: Prabowo Is The Most Voted For The 2024 Presidential Election Candidate But Stagnant, Ganjar Has A Chance To Takeover

Illustrations (Photo: Irfan Meidianto / VOI)

JAKARTA - The survey institute Saiful Mujani Research Center (SMRC) released a poll on the choice of public presidential candidates in the upcoming 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres).

SMRC Program Manager Saidiman Ahmad explained that the name Prabowo Subianto got the highest election as a presidential candidate in a semi-open question.

Unfortunately, Prabowo's election trend since 2015 has been stagnant. Meanwhile, Ganjar Pranowo's voters continue to increase.

For example, in March 2020, 19.5 percent of respondents voted for Prabowo. Then it rose to 21.8 percent in October 2020, decreased again to 20 percent in March 2021, and rose slightly to 21.5 in May 2021.

Meanwhile, the respondents who voted for Ganjar in March 2020 were 6.9 percent. Then it rose to 9.9 percent in October 2020, fell slightly to 8 percent in March 2021, and rose to 12.6 in May 2021.

"Since 6 years ago in semi-open questions, support for Prabowo has tended to stagnate at around 20 percent. In the 2 years after the 2019 election, only Ganjar has made significant progress", Saidiman said in a virtual discussion entitled "Political Parties and Presidential Candidates: Voters' Attitude Two Years after the 2019 General Election”, Sunday, June 13.

After that, there was the name Anies Baswedan in third place with electability of 12 percent. Other names only received under 6 percent of the votes, such as Sandiaga Uno with 5.5 percent and Ridwan Kamil (4.4%).

In a closed simulation of the choice of 15 presidential candidates, Prabowo received the most support with 24.4 percent, followed by Ganjar with 15.7 percent, and Anies with 14.3 percent. Other names only received under 8 percent of the votes, such as Sandiaga 7.9 percent and Ridwan 5.3 percent.

"In the simulation of the choice of 3 presidential candidates, Prabowo received the most support at 34.1 percent, followed by Ganjar with 25.5 percent, and Anies with 23.5 percent".

It is known that this survey was conducted in the period 21-28 May 2021. The survey was conducted through face-to-face interviews with 1.220 randomly selected respondents. The margin of error for this survey is estimated at 3.05 percent and the survey confidence level is 95 percent.