JAKARTA - The Indonesian Survey Institute released a poll on the latest electability of the candidate pair (paslon) of the Governor-Deputy Governor of Jakarta which was conducted after the inaugural debate of the Jakarta gubernatorial election.
Pramono Anung-Rano Karno's electability has 41.6 percent electability, then Ridwan Kamil-Suswono 37.4 percent, and Dharma Pongrekun-Kun Wardana 6.6 percent.
"Pramono-Rano excels with the highest electability, followed by Ridwan-Suswono's second place and Dharma-Kun's third place," said LSI Executive Director, Djayadi Hanan, in a virtual survey presentation, Wednesday, October 23.
Djayadi explained, most likely the 2024 Pilkada will be held in two rounds. Given, there are still 14.4 percent of respondents who have not made a choice.
There is a possibility that Pramono-Rano will continue to rise and Ridwan-Suwono can go down. Or it could also rebound Ridwan-Suswono up, then the possibility of two rounds is very possible," explained Djayadi.
This survey was conducted on October 10-17, 2024. The survey was conducted on 1,200 respondents from Jakarta with face-to-face interviews. The sample was taken using the multistage random sampling method with a margin of error of 2.9 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.
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When comparing several previous surveys, Pramono-Rano's electability trend tends to rise, while RK-Suswono continues to decline. In fact, now there is a change in the candidate pair's electability sequence when compared to the previous survey.
In the LSI survey which was held on September 6-9, Ridwan Kamil-Suswono had 51.8 percent electability, Pramono-Rano 28.4 percent, and Dharma-Kun 3.2 percent.
Then in the Poltracking survey which was held on September 9-15, RK-Suswono received 47.5 percent electability, Pramono-Rano 31.5 percent, while Dharma-Kun 5.1 percent.
In the Charta Politica survey which was held on September 19-24, the electability of RK-Suswono was 48.3 percent, Pramono-Rano 36.5 percent, while Dharma-Kun 5.6 percent.
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