LSI Survey: PDIP, Golkar and Gerindra Have a Chance to Win the 2024 Election

JAKARTA - The results of a survey by LSI Denny JA state that three political parties have the chance to win in the 2024 election, namely the PDI Perjuangan, Golkar Party, and Gerindra Party.

"A year before the 2024 elections, only three parties had won support above 10 percent, namely PDIP, Golkar, and Gerindra. These three parties have the opportunity to become winners in the 2024 election," said SIGI-LSI Director Denny JA, Ardian Sopa as quoted by ANTARA, Tuesday, February 7.

He explained, based on the results of a survey by his agency, the PDI Perjuangan received the support of 22.7 percent, the Golkar Party 13.8 percent, and the Gerindra Party 11.2 percent.

According to him, there are four political parties whose electability exceeds the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent, namely the PKB, the Democratic Party, PKS, and the NasDem Party.

"PKB received 8 percent support, Democrats received 5 percent, PKS 4.9 percent, and the NasDem Party received 4.4 percent support," he said.

Ardian assessed that apart from the seven political parties, other parties participating in the 2024 election must try hard to pass the parliamentary threshold.

According to him, political parties which are participating in elections for the first time, get support below 1 percent.

Following are the results of the LSI Denny JA survey in January 2023, namely PDI Perjuangan (22.7 percent), Golkar Party 13.8 percent, Gerindra Party 11.2 percent, PKB (8 percent), Democratic Party (5 percent), PKS (4 .9 percent), NasDem Party (4.4 percent),

Perindo Party (2.8 percent), PPP (2.1 percent), PAN (1.9 percent). PSI (0.5 percent), PBB, Garuda Party, Ummat Party with support of 0.3 percent, Hanura Party, Labor Party, Gelora Party, and PKN with support of 0.1 percent.

The LSI Denny JA national survey was conducted on January 4-15 2023 using qualitative research and using 1200 respondents in 34 provinces in Indonesia.

The interview was conducted face to face. The “margin of error” for survey 1 is +/- 2.9 percent. Qualitative research was conducted with media analysts, "Focus Group Discussion" (FGD), and "in-depth interviews".