WRC Survey: Melki-Johni Unggul Electability In Kupang City And 19 Regencies In The NTT Gubernatorial Election Survey

ILLUSTRATION OF DOK VOI

JAKARTA - The Color Research Center (WRC) conducted a survey to measure the electability of three pairs of candidates (paslon) for the governor and deputy governor of East Nusa Tenggara (NTT) ahead of the week of the 2024 Pilkada on 27 November.

The survey results show that pair number 02 Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma excels in Kupang City and 19 regencies in NTT.

WRC Executive Director Dedi Rohman explained that Melki-Johni received 38.7 percent support when respondents were asked about the candidate pair for the NTT Regional Head who would be elected if the election was held at this time.

"Meanwhile, pair number 01, Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto won 25.2 percent support. Followed by pair number 03, Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu who won 18.4 percent support," said Dedi, Thursday, November 21.

"Meanwhile, 17.7 percent of those who stated that they did not vote and answered or kept their choices a secret," he added.

Then on a closed question to the respoden through a quasionary paper with the question 'From the three names of the NTT regional head candidate pairs, which one will you choose now as the NTT Regional Head?', as a result, the pair Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma was chosen as 42.9 percent.

"Then Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto was chosen as much as 27.2 percent and Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu was chosen 24.8 percent, then 5.1 percent did not choose," said Dedi.

In testing through ballots with pictures and serial numbers from the three pairs of candidates for the NTT Regional Head who were given 1488 respondents to choose from, continued Dedi, the result was that the Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma pair won 646 votes or 43.45 percent. Then the Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto won 420 votes or 28.29 percent.

"The pair Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu won 382 votes or 25.68 percent, and 40 blank votes," said Dedi.

Dedi said this survey shows that the Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma pair excels with the highest electability in Kupang City and 19 regencies. Apart from Kupang Regency and South Central Timor Regency, which outperforms Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu.

"Meanwhile, the Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto were only in second and third positions," said Dedi.

This survey was conducted between 12-20 November 2024 and 1,488 NTT residents as respondents representing 3,988,372 voters in the NTT Pilkada.

The number of respondents as many as 1488 people spread across 21 districts and one city was chosen proportionally using the multistage random sampling method.

Survey data collection is carried out by direct face-to-face interviews and via Whatsap call video connection. The results of this survey have a margin of error of approximately 2.54 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.

The following is the distribution of electability for the three pairs of candidates for regional heads in each city/regency in NTT:

1. Kupang Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (17.1%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (30.3%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (49.2%)

2. South Central Timor Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (15.7%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (28.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (49.1%)

3. Alor Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (19.1%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (52.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (23.2%)

4. Head of Belu Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (34.7%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (40.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (23.5%)

5. Ende Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (37.9%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (41.3%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (18.5%)

6. East Flores Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (35.8%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (45.2%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (17.8%)

7. Head of Lembata Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (35.6%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (54.2%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (8.1%)

8. Head of Malacca Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (35.2%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (40.2%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (23.9%)

9. Head of Manggarai Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (30.9%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (42.9%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (24.2%)

10. West Manggarai Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (29.7%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (39.8%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (29.5%)

11. East Manggarai Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (34.1%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (43.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (23.3%)

12. Head of Nagekeo Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (30.7%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (41.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (27.9%)

13. Head of Ngada Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (27.9%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (35.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (30.1%)

14. Head of Rote Ndao Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (16.3%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (39.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (22.9%)

15. Head of Sabu Raijua Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (26.1%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (39.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (35.9%)

16. Sikka Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (21.2%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (56.9%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (21.8%)

17. West Sumba Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (24.9%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (561%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (18.2%)

18. Head of Southwest Sumba Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (34.7%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (41.1%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (23.9%)

19. Central Sumba Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (20.1%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (48.8%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (30.9%)

20. East Sumba Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (40.9%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (46.9%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (12.8%)

21. North Central Timor Regency Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (33.9%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (39.7%) Simon Petrus Kamlation-Adrianus Garu (26.1%)

22. Kupang City Yohanis Fransiskus Lema-Jane Natalia Suryanto (19.9%) Melkiades Laka Lena-Johni Asadoma (54.9%) Simon Petrus Kamlasi-Adrianus Garu (24.3%).