Indicator Survey: Prabowo-Gibran Outperforms All Opponents If Head To Head

Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka outperforms all opponents. (photo: x @prabowo)

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Political Indicators survey institute released a simulation of the 2024 presidential election if it was held in two rounds. As a result, candidate pair number 2, Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka outperforms all opponents. Executive Director of the Indonesian Political Indicators Survey Institute, Burhanuddin Muhtadi, revealed that the Prabowo-Gibran pair are superior in head to head, both against Paslon number 1, Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar and Paslon number 3, Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD. Where Prabowo-Gibran got 58.3 percent. Meanwhile, Anies-Cak Imin 27.9 percent. "Head to head Anies against Prabowo Assuming Ganjar did not pass the first round, Prabowo was far ahead," said Burhanuddin in a survey release, Saturday, January 20. Interestingly, continued Burhanuddin, if Prabowo did not qualify for the second round, Anies' electability would actually decrease compared to the previous survey period. Anies-Cak Imin with 35.4 percent and Ganjar-Mahfud with 41.5 percent. Meanwhile, those who did not know were quite large, reaching 23.1 percent. "This Anies versus Ganjar is interesting. This is an assumption that Prabowo did not pass the second round, it looks like Anies' electability has decreased in head-to-head simulations against Ganjar compared to the previous survey in December. Meanwhile, Ganjar's electability in the simulation against Anies has increased slightly but has not decreased," he explained.

Meanwhile, if Prabowo and Ganjar head to head in the second round, then the Minister of Defense and Mayor of Solo will also win with 58.1 percent. Meanwhile, Ganjar-Mahfud 26.8 percent. "Head to head Ganjar vs Prabowo, in this simulation Pak Prabowo, the trend has increased slightly while Mas Ganjar has decreased slightly," said Burhanuddin. This Political Indicator Survey was conducted after the debate between the three presidential elections, namely the period 10-16 January 2024. The survey involved 1,200 people from all provinces of Indonesia using the face-to-face interview method. The sampling technique is carried out using a multistage random sampling method with an error tolerance of around 2.9 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent.