Duet With Anyone, Whether Ganjar, Puan Or Khofifah In The 2024 Presidential Election, Prabowo Subianto's Name Remains Superior In Central Java

Executive Director of the Institute for Public Policy Survey and Analysis (Lanskap) Mochammad Thoha/ANTARA

JAKARTA - Executive Director of the Institute for Public Policy Survey and Analysis (LANSKAP), Mochammad Thoha, said that the name of Defense Minister Prabowo Subianto remains superior in East Java. Even when paired with anyone in the upcoming 2024 presidential election.

"In East Java, we found that the Prabowo-Puan, Prabowo-Ganjar, and Prabowo-Khofifah pairs will come out victorious in just one round", Thoha said in a statement received in Jakarta, Antara, Monday, July 18.

He views that this is because the name Prabowo has become the prima donna in the minds of the people of East Java, so that he is paired with good figures from the PDI-P, namely the Chair of the Indonesian Parliament, Puan Maharani, and the Governor of Central Java, Ganjar Pranowo, who remain superior, even with the Governor of East Java, Khofifah Indar Parawansa.

"Although Puan still has electability, when paired with Prabowo, the pair want to be strong enough to emerge as the winner of the presidential election competition", he said.

The reason why Prabowo is currently always ahead is that the General Chairperson of the Gerindra Party, who also carries out the mandate as Minister of Defense of the Republic of Indonesia, is a figure who is now widely favored by Jokowi voters in the 2019 presidential election, said Thoha.

"The Prabowo factor is the main factor in increasing the electability of the pair. This is presumably because Prabowo's figure has been favored by Jokowi and Ma'ruf supporters in the province", he explained.

In several simulations, the Prabowo-Puan pair received 53.8 percent electability, while the Coordinating Minister for the Economy Airlangga Hartarto and Ganjar got 22.3 percent, and the DKI Jakarta Governor pair Anies Baswedan with the Chairman of the Democratic Party Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY) obtained electability of 21.7 percent, with the number of undecided voters at 2.2 percent.

Furthermore, in the second simulation, the Prabowo-Ganjar pair got 55.1 percent, Airlangga with SOE Minister Erick Thohir (20.4 percent), Anies-AHY (15.9 percent), and undecided voters by 8.6 percent.

Then, in the next simulation, Prabowo-Khofifah (50.8 percent), Puan-Ganjar (29.4 percent), Airlangga-Anies (15.3 percent), and undecided voters (4.5 percent).

This survey was conducted by LANSKAP in the period from June 29 to July 8, 2022. Then the sample taken was 880 respondents and used a multistage random sampling methodology with a margin of error (MoE) of around 3.3 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent.