Hit By Voter Migration Issues, Prabowo Subianto's Electability Still Mighty In Landscape Surveys, Following Anies

Prabowo Subianto (Instagram @prabowo)

JAKARTA - The Institute for Public Policy Survey and Analysis (Lanskap) noted that the electability of Gerindra General Chair Prabowo Subianto is still strong even though many voters expressed disappointment in joining the government. The public is said to still have chosen Prabowi with a survey result of 23.0 percent of voters.

Landscape Executive Director, Mochammad Thoha, assessed that Prabowo's figure, who has competed three times in the national leadership, could show that the public still has high hopes for the defense minister to be able to realize his delayed political economy vision and mission.

Namely, realizing a democratic, united, strong, advanced, and prosperous Indonesian state and nation.

"Despite the issue of voter migration who is disappointed with Prabowo joining the Jokowi government, it seems that Prabowo's electability is still quite high", said Thoha in Jakarta, Tuesday, November 30.

"It might be interpreted that some supporters are starting to understand the stance taken by Prabowo for national unity. Moreover, following the joining of Sandiaga Uno, it seems as if there is an invitation to defuse the situation", he continued.

The next position after Prabowo is occupied by Anies Baswedan 14.1 percent, Ganjar Pranowo 13.6 percent.

Thoha said that the public choice given to Anies was probably due to his pluralist and religious character. While Ganjar may be better known as a popular figure because he often goes down, especially in the province of Central Java where he serves as Governor of Central Java.

In addition to the electability of presidential candidates, this survey also asks simulation questions for the presidential and vice-presidential candidates. The simulation results show a high level of electability for the pair in which Prabowo is the presidential candidate.

The highest Prabowo-Puan pair got 67.7 percent of the gains compared to 63.6 percent of Prabowo-Anies, 62.0 percent of Prabowo-Ganjar and 58.7 percent of Prabowo-Sandi.

"However, if it is reversed where Prabowo is the vice-presidential candidate, the percentage of electability is much lower, but it is still the main choice in all simulations that place Prabowo as the vice-presidential candidate. There is only a small percentage of the public choosing Prabowo for the vice-presidential position and that there is a large proportion of the public choosing Prabowo as the presidential candidate", explained Thoha.

Meanwhile, other presidential and vice-presidential pairs, such as Anies-Ganjar 48.5 percent, Anies-Sandi 46.2 percent, Anies-Puan 40.1 percent, Anies-Airlangga 38.9 percent. While the Ganjar-Anies simulation is 47.1 percent. Ganjar-Sandi 46.7 percent, Ganjar-Airlangga 41.1 percent or Ganjar-Puan 39.4 percent.

"Other combinations for the time being still have not passed the electability gain if Prabowo becomes the presidential candidate", said Thoha.

The Institute for Public Policy Survey and Analysis (Lanskap) will carry out a field survey on November 11-25, 2021, with a sampling technique using multistage random sampling spread across 34 provinces in Indonesia.

The sample taken is a population aged at least 17 years and over and or who has been married by 1420 respondents with a Margin of Error ± 2.6 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent.

The data were collected through direct interviews. The process in this field is carried out with strict health protocols. The results of this survey are the results of the survey at the time it was conducted or temporarily so that it is very likely that changes will occur in the future.