Experts From Alan Turing Institute, London, Predict England Will Get Eliminated In The Quarter Finals Of The 2022 World Cup

Harry Kane and friends are predicted not to qualify for the semifinals. (photo Twitter @kane)

JAKARTA - Just a few days before England starts their campaign at the 2022 World Cup, with a meeting with Iran, scientists have pessimistic predictions about Harry Kane and his friends.

The experts, based at London's Alan Turing Institute, said Gareth Southgate's men have only a seven percent chance of winning the World Cup for the first time since 1966.

England also has a 58.5 percent chance of reaching the quarter-finals but only a 31.7 percent chance of reaching the semifinals. According to the predictions of these experts, the Three Lions will most likely lose in the quarterfinals.

However, of the 32 participating teams, England is the fifth team with a high chance of bringing home the trophy, right behind France, Belgium, and Brazil.

Meanwhile, Wales, playing in its first World Cup since 1958, has only a 0.5 percent chance of winning the tournament. They only have a 46 percent chance of qualifying from the group stage.

According to this team's research, Brazil is most likely to win the World Cup this year.

The experts used a statistical model trained on the results of previous competitive and friendly matches since the start of the 2002 World Cup, to simulate this year's entire tournament 100,000 times.

According to the results, Brazil has a 25 percent chance of winning the World Cup this year which has a greater probability than any other team.

After Brazil, it is followed by Belgium (18.9 percent), Argentina (13.2 percent), France (11 percent), and then the United Kingdom (7.1 percent) in the calculation.

Meanwhile, Australia, Tunisia, Saudi Arabia, Cameroon, Canada, Ghana, and Qatar have a 0.0 percent chance of winning the tournament.

'Football can present many surprises and like any prediction, that is no guarantee of what the future will be like,' said Dr. Nick Barlow, senior research software engineer at the Alan Turing Institute and a member of the team, quoted by the Daily Mail.

"But it's a fun project to work on and we're looking forward to seeing how our predictions will look alongside the actual results," he said.

Since England has a 58.5 percent chance of reaching the quarter-finals and a 31.7 percent chance of reaching the semifinals, the laws of probability indicate that the quarter-finals will be the point where the Three Lions are eliminated.

Wales, meanwhile, has only a 46 percent chance of exiting the group and a 22.1 percent chance of reaching the last 16.

The two home nations are both in Group B and will therefore face off on November 29, with a possible round of 16 place at stake.