JAKARTA - The electability of the Governor of Central Java, Ganjar Pranowo, consistently ranks second in recent survey data. According to the latest Indonesia Elections and Strategy (IndEX) survey, Ganjar is still the runner-up with 16.7 percent.
However, Ganjar's electability is considered unable to bring him forward as a presidential candidate in 2024 if the PDIP ticket is not given to him. So, will Megawati melted and give Ganjar the green light by considering his electability?
Political analyst and Executive Director of Voxpol Center Research and Consulting, Pangi Syarwi Chaniago, believes that PDIP will be defeated if Ganjar continues to show increasing electability.
"In the end, PDIP will be conquered by trends and growth in electability", said Pangi, Thursday, June 10.
Similar to the 2014 presidential election, Megawati handed over a ticket to Joko Widodo because his electability had skyrocketed even though he had just served as Governor of DKI Jakarta.
"Jokowi when electability is unstoppable and smooth, Mrs. Megawati handed over the ticket to Jokowi", said Pangi.
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Indeed, he continued, at that time, the Soekarno Breed in the internal PDIP was not ready to run for the presidential election when Jokowi was nominated. Neither Puan Maharani nor Prananda Prabowo, so it doesn't really matter.
"Now it may be that Ganjar's momentum has been hampered because there is a Soekarno Breed who is also ready to fight. Even though the electability capital is not promising, both Prananda and Puan", he said.
Nevertheless, Pangi believes, PDIP will still carefully and measurably calculate its political steps and strive to win in elections, both presidential and legislative elections. Moreover, Ganjar is also a party official who certainly works for the interests and agenda of the PDIP and Megawati Soekarnoputri.
"Today's PDIP doesn't have a cadre that is really strong and has its own leading electability. I noticed that it's still competitive. In the past, Jokowi's electability wasn't trying to overtake her", Pangi explained.
"Can there be twin suns? Jokowi has the momentum because the Soekarno Breed was not ready when Jokowi got tickets from the PDIP and Megawati. Now the others are party officials, including Ganjar, maybe the others are just party officials who work for the Soekarno Breed like Puan and Prananda", he added.
Apart from these issues, Pangi assessed that Ganjar Pranowo could be a balanced opponent for the Minister of Defense, the General Chair of Gerindra, Prabowo Subianto. And the Governor of DKI Jakarta Anies Baswedan in the upcoming presidential election.
Therefore, Ganjar remains the most potential PDIP cadre if he fights in the upcoming presidential election, rather than the Soekarno Breed.
"Ganjar is still a potential figure to run for president, there is only one way to enter, namely Megawati giving Ganjar a ticket to go forward and win the fight", said Pangi Syarwi Chaniago.
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