SPIN Survey: The Electability Of Central Java Police Chief Ahmad Luthfi Leads In The Central Java Gubernatorial Election

Central Java Police Chief Inspector General Ahmad Luthfi (ANTARA/IC Senjaya)

JAKARTA - A survey from a research institute, namely Survey and Polling Indonesia (Spin) noted that the electability of the Central Java Police Chief Inspector General Ahmad Luthfi was ranked first in a survey of open and closed questions related to the candidate for Governor of Central Java.

Spin Director Igor Dirgantara said the names of the two-star generals far behind other candidates who still could not confirm their respective positions because their electability was still very narrow.

"The fight between candidates is still very tight and the fighting situation is still very dynamic," said Igor in a written statement received in Jakarta, Friday.

He explained that the Spin survey in Central Java was conducted from June 23 to July 1, 2024, with a total sample of 1,200 respondents with a margin of error of less than 2.8 percent, and a confidence level of 95 percent.

According to him, the criteria for respondents are residents aged 17 years and over or already have an ID card. According to him, the distribution of samples is spread across 35 districts/cities, with a multistage random sampling technique.

"The data collection technique is carried out through face-to-face interviews with the help of a questionnaire. Quality control is 10 percent of the sample," he said.

In an open question without naming names, the survey resulted that 13.7 percent of respondents answered the name of Ahmad Luthfi who would be elected if the Central Java Regional Head Election (Pilkada) was held today.

Meanwhile, PSI Chairman Kaesang Pangarep's name is in second place, which was chosen by 7.6 percent of respondents. While in third place it was filled by the name of the former Deputy Governor of Central Java Taj Yasin Maimoen who was chosen by 7.5 percent of respondents.

Then on a closed question that presented names, the survey resulted that Ahmad Luthfi's name was ranked first by 17.5 respondents if the Central Java Regional Head Election (Pilkada) was held today.

Similar to the open question survey, in the survey of closed questions, Kaesang's name was ranked second, which was chosen by 11.1 percent of respondents. Then the name Taj Yasin was ranked third, which was chosen by 9.7 percent of respondents.

Igor assessed that the increase in the electability of the Central Java Police Chief could not be separated from the incident in Sukolilo, Pati Regency, some time ago, which attracted the attention of the wider public and was successfully noticed and handled by Ahmad Luthfi.

Meskipun demikian dia menilai Pilkada Jawa Tengah masih sangat dynamic dan masih terbuka lebar bagi para calon untuk keluar menjadi pemenang. Hal tersebut berdasarkan masih tinggi swing voters dibanding kuat voters.