Observers Estimate That The Presidential Election Coalition Can Be Different From The Pilkada

Illustration (ANTARA)

Political observer from Diponegoro University, Semarang, Ghulam Manar, believes that the coalition that occurred in the 2024 Presidential and Vice Presidential Elections at the national level could be different from the coalition in regional head elections.

"Talking about politics, the coalition is not permanent. There is no guarantee in the presidential election then (the same) with the regional elections, including for Central Java and Semarang City," he said in Semarang, Saturday.

According to him, Central Java has been known as the basis of the PDI-P mass so that it is often referred to as a "bullet cage" which has so far been quite strong, even though its presidential and vice-presidential candidates have lost the 2024 presidential election.

Because, he said, the PDIP vote acquisition in the 2024 election was still quite high, even though it was down and had the opportunity to carry their own candidate pairs in the Central Java Pilkada because they had exceeded the minimum 20 percent or 24 seats requirement.

Therefore, he estimates that the Forward Indonesia Coalition (KIM) that occurred at the central level in the presidential election or the 2024 General Election will not occur in Central Java because the situation and political map are different.

The Advanced Indonesia Coalition (KIM) is a combination of the Gerindra Party, the Golkar Party, PAN, the Democratic Party, the Crescent Star Party (PBB), the Indonesian Gelora Party, PSI, the Garuda Party, and the People's Fair and Prosperous Party (Prima).

"At the local level, people feel directly the performance of their regional heads, both governors, especially mayors and regents. Therefore, the coalition in the 2024 presidential election will not occur in Central Java," he said.

However, said Ghulam, political dynamics could change, especially until now all political parties are still waiting and seeing each other and waiting for the election contestation in Central Java.

Meanwhile, the Head of the Desk Pilkada DPC of the Semarang City Gerindra Party, Joko Santoso, said that the map of the coalition at the center could be different from that in the regions depending on the dynamics that occurred.

Moreover, Gerindra also included the name of the Mayor of Semarang Hevearita Gunaryanti Rahayu, who is a PDIP cadre as one of the potential candidates invited to the party's screening.

"We have plans, including Mbak Ita (Hevearita) to be invited. Political communication, we don't see big or small parties. All have the potential for us to cooperate," he said.

For KIM at the center, he admitted that he would still be a reference for Gerindra because it was proven that he could win the Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka pair in the 2024 presidential election, but it could be different.

"At least yesterday I had experience in the Forward Indonesia Coalition to win Pak Prabowo and Mas Gibran. This is at least the initial capital. Thank God (parpol, ed.) can add more," he said.