JAKARTA - Almost all of the top survey institutions that carried out quick count results of the 2024 presidential election proved accurate. The average error (average error) of all survey institutions whose quick count was broadcast on national television is less than 1 percent, aka still under the margin of error they set.
However, of the 11 survey institutions whose quick count entry data was monitored up to 100 percent, the survey agency that has the best accuracy and precision is LSI Denny JA, followed by Poltracking and the National Survey Institute (LSN).
As is known, the Indonesian KPU recently officially announced the results of the 2024 presidential election. Based on the KPU data, the Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka pair received 58.58 percent of the votes as well as were declared winners of the 2024 presidential election.
In second place the pair Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar (24.95 percent) and in third place the pair Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD (16.47 percent).
On February 14, 2024, the Indonesian Survey Circle, better known as LSI Denny JA, carried out a quick count of the results of the 2024 presidential election in collaboration with TVOne and a number of other national TV stations.
When the data entered the LSI quick count, Denny JA, it had reached 100 percent, the Prabowo-Gibran pair received 58.47 percent of the votes, followed by the Anies-Muhaimin (24.98 percent) pair and the Ganjar-Mahfud MD (16.55 percent) pair.
"Thus, when compared to the official KPU data, the average quick count error for LSI Denny JA is only 0.07 percent," explained the Executive Director of LSN, Gema Nusantara Bakry, Friday, March 22.
Meanwhile, Poltracking Indonesia, which is also collaborating with TVOne in carrying out a quick count for the 2024 presidential election, said that the Prabowo-Gibran pair received 58.51 percent of the votes.
The Anies-Muhaimin pair was in second place with 25.13 percent of the votes, while the Ganjar-Mahfud MD pair promoted by PDI Perjuangan and PPP received 16.36 percent of the votes. Thus, when compared to the official KPU data, the average quick count error of Poltracking is only 0.12 percent.
Meanwhile, the National Survey Institute (LSN) which in carrying out the quick count of the results of the 2024 presidential election in collaboration with Garuda TV also emphasized that the Prabowo-Gibran pair received 58.35 percent of the votes. The second rank position was also occupied by the Anies-Muhaimin pair with 24.99 percent of the votes, while the Ganjar-Mahfud MD pair was in the caretaker position with 16.66 percent of the votes.
"Thus, when compared to the official KPU data, the results of the LSN quick count are only 0.15 percent difference," he said.
Based on the data summarized from various sources, it can be concluded that LSI Denny JA is the most accurate and precise survey agency in carrying out the quick count results of the 2024 presidential election.
Meanwhile, the accuracy of the Poltracking and LSN quick count disputes was only 0.12 percent and 0.15 percent with official KPU RI data, occupying second and third positions ahead of Litbang Kompas (0.19 percent), SMRC (0.21 percent), Cyrus-CSIS (0.25 percent), Indicators (0.29 percent), Charta Politica (0.38 percent) and so on.
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