IPO Survey Institute: Prabowo Subianto And Ganjar Pranowo Top Positions For The 2024 Presidential Election

Executive Director of the IPO Survey Institute, Dedi Kurnia Syah. (Antara)

JAKARTA - Indonesia Political Opinion (IPO) has released the results of a national survey which states that three names still dominate the position of the presidential candidate pair (candidate) and vice presidential candidate (cawapres) in the 2024 election.

"The names Prabowo Subianto, Anies Baswedan, and Ganjar Pranowo still occupy the top positions if out of all the schemes offered to respondents, there are three pairs of candidates," said IPO Executive Director Dedi Kurnia Syah in the Trijaya MNC Polemic discussion which was followed in Jakarta, Saturday.

In the scheme, Prabowo Subianto and Ganjar Pranowo received 34.9 percent of the respondents' votes, compared to Puan Maharani and Sandiaga Uno who got 7.4 percent, and Airlangga Hartarto paired with Zulkifli Hasan got 6.2 percent.

The next scheme, Anies Baswedan and Sandiaga Uno get 31.7 percent compared to Airlangga Hartarto and Ganjar Pranowo at 18.5 percent, and Puan Maharani and Erick Thohir at 14.6 percent.

Furthermore, the scheme of Anies Baswedan and Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono was 27.1 percent compared to Puan Maharani and Ganjar Pranowo at 26.8 percent, and Muhaimin Iskandar and Airlangga Hartarto at 9.3 percent.

Finally, the Ganjar Pranowo and Airlangga Hartarto schemes account for 16.1 percent compared to Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono and Angela Tausudibyo at 4.8 percent, and Zulkifli Hasan and Muhaimin Iskandar at 4.3 percent.

"This scheme refers to the PDI-P main coalition supporting Puan, the second coalition supporting Airlangga, and the third coalition supporting Anies Baswedan," he explained as quoted by Antara.

The survey was conducted on 23-28 May 2022 with a face-to-face hybrid research interview technique of 480 respondents and 720 respondents by telephone.

Telephone data refers to population data of 196,420 held by IPOs from the survey period in 2019 to 2021. From the total population, there are 7,200 who are possible to become respondents until 720 respondents are randomly selected. Thus a total of 1,200 respondents.

This method has a measurement error (margin of error) of 2.90 percent, with a data accuracy rate of 95 percent. Sampling setting using multistage random sampling (MRS) technique or stratified sampling. This survey succeeded in taking a proportionally dispersed sample representation on a national scale.