When The Jakarta Regional Head Election Can't Be Released From The Shadow Of Anies Baswedan

JAKARTA - The Pramono Anung-Rano Karno pair succeeded in overthrowing Ridwan Kamil-Suswono in the 2024 Jakarta Pilkada which was promoted by the Advanced Indonesia Coalition (KIM) Plus.

Based on the quick count of a number of survey institutions, this PDI-P candidate gets 50 percent. If this result is in accordance with the calculation of the General Elections Commission on December 16, 024, then Pramono is confirmed to be the Governor of Jakarta for the period 20024-2029.

The support of President Prabowo Subianto and President of the Seventh Indonesia Joko Widodo (Jokowi) to Ridwan Kamil did not even succeed in winning the hearts of Jakarta residents.

A number of observers assessed that the figures of Anies Baswedan and Basuki Tjahaja Purnama alias Ahok succeeded in controlling votes for Pramono-Rano Karno. As for Ridwan Kamil, the former Governor of West Java is considered to have made a number of blunders ahead of the election.

Jakarta is the only area that has succeeded in knocking out the dominance of KIM Plus. In other areas such as Central Java, East Java, North Sumatra, even Banten was won by a pair supported by a fat coalition.

One of the survey institutions, the Voxpol Center noted that candidate pair number one Pramono-Bang Doel received 50.1 percent of the votes, Ridwan Kamil-Suswono 39.37 percent, and candidate pair Dharma-Kun received 10.52 percent of the votes temporarily.

The loss of votes for support for RK-Suswono cannot be separated from the decision of the Constitutional Court (MK) regarding the threshold for nomination of heads and deputy regional heads.

At the beginning before the birth of the Constitutional Court's decision to grant the request for requirements was below 20 percent, Ridwan's presence seemed unmatched and even feared that he would fight the empty box.

However, this changed after the Constitutional Court's decision granted the requirements below 20 percent. PDIP originally intended to field Andika Perkasa or Anies Baswedan, then decided on Pramono Anung-Rano Karno.

At the beginning of its appearance, this couple tended not to be able to keep up with the strength of RIDO, which was supported by KIM Plus. However, over time, even judging by the team before voting, RIDO's electability tends to decrease and be accompanied by the increase in Pramono-bang Doel's electability.

Executive Director of Political Communication Studies and Research Center (PolCom SRC) Andriadi Achmad said there were several factors. First, RK is too synonymous with West Java. It is difficult to membrane RK out of West Java. West Java and Jakarta voters are different.

"Even though it is supported by KIM Plus, even Jokowi is still unable to lift RIDO's electability," Andriadi said when contacted by VOI.

"Second, injure time support Anies Baswedan simply has an electoral impact. Actually, the people of Jakarta want Anies to sail in Jakarta. But it doesn't happen, Anies' children or supporters in Jakarta will follow Anies Baswedan's direction," he added.

Anies is known to have a strong support base in Jakarta. Even during the 2024 Presidential Election (Pilpres) recently, the area where Anies lost to Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka, the voice of this Kuningan-born man was still able to stick to Prabowo in Jakarta.

The proof is that Anies, who during the 2024 presidential election supported by PKS, PKB, and Nasdem, received 41.07 percent of the votes. He only narrowly lost to Prabowo-Gibran who earned 41.67 percent in the capital.

Contacted separately, Executive Director of Indonesia Political Opinion (IPO) Dedi Kurnia Syah confirmed that Anies had important factors in the Jakarta Pilkada.

"Jakarta since the presidential election has become Anies' base, on the other hand, candidate character has also been rejected, this collectively makes Ridwan Kamil or Jokowi lose," said Dedi to VOI.

"If you read the electability trend before the election, until after the quick count and exit poll, the chances of the Jakarta gubernatorial election one round are quite large, and Pramono is the winner," he continued.

In addition to Anies' factor which affected Pramono-Bang Doel's vote, Dedi Kurnia Syah also considered the Ridwan Kamil-Suswono pair to fail to offer new things in terms of work plans so that it has an impact on minimal public sympathy.

"While Pramono brought a message of resistance to Jokowi's dominance, this was quite successful. On the other hand, Pramono and Rano did not experience problems in propaganda, not blunders," Dedi.

During the campaign period, the RIDO candidate pair made several blunders, including Suswono's statement about rich women and unemployed youth'. This statement, said Para Syndicate Executive Director, Virdika Rizky Utama, actually eroded public sympathy.

The statement is quite fatal because people (in Jakarta) are on average literate in education. In Jakarta, talking about equality is still sensitive," said Virdika.

Not only that, RK's attitude as if supporting the Jakarta football club, Persija, also failed to win The Jakmania's sympathy. Because almost everyone knows, Ridwan Kamil is a loyal supporter of Persib Bandung, which is clearly Persib Bandung's eternal rival.

According to Virdika, the former Governor of West Java should not have sought The Jakmania's sympathy by supporting Persija. Ridwan should simply talk about improving stadium facilities, such as the Jakarta International Stadium (JIS).

"So they are considered hypocritical. They are said to have used The Jakmania for electoral purposes," he concluded.