LSI Denny JA Predicts To Win The 2024 Legislative Election
JAKARTA - A survey from the Indonesian survey institute (LSI) Denny JA, said the Gerindra Party would win the 2024 General Election. Gerindra shifted PDIP, which in the previous two elections won.
In a survey released on Saturday) it was said that Gerindra had an electability of 22.7 percent. Meanwhile, PDIP 18.9 percent. Followed in a row Golkar (11.6 percent), PKB (7.9 percent), PKS (7.6 percent), Nasdem (7.0 percent).
Meanwhile, parties that have an electability of between 4 and 5 percent are the Democratic Party (5.6 percent), PAN (4.1 percent), and PPP (4.0 percent).
The PSI party led by Jokowi's son, Kaesang Pangarep only received (2.2 percent). Likewise, the PKN led by Anas Urbaningrum was only (0.8 percent). The parties that only received 2 percent support down were Perindo (2.0 percent), Gelora (1.0 percent), Hanura (1.0 percent), Ummat (1.0 percent), Garuda (0.9 percent), PBB (0.9 percent), Labor (0.8 percent).
"The spike in Gerindra's voice occurred at the end of January 2024. According to Ardian in December 2023 to early January 2024, PDIP was still the winner. But in January 2024 at the end until February 2024, Gerindra overtook PDIP," explained LSI researcher Denny JA, Ardian Sopa, in the release of the survey results on Saturday, February 10.
The details of Gerindra's electability based on time were early December 2023 (17.8 percent), late December 2023 (17.7 percent), early January 2024 (20.2 percent), late January 2024 (23.7 percent), February 2024 (22.0 percent). percent).
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Meanwhile, PDIP in early December 2023 was (21.9 percent), in late December 2023 (19.1 percent), early January 2024 (21.9 percent), late January 2024 (17.9 percent), February 2024 (18.2 percent).
LSI Denny JA conducted face-to-face interviews using questionnaires to 1200 respondents throughout Indonesia. With 1200 respondents, the margin of error for this survey was 2.9 percent. Survey was conducted on January 26 - February 6, 2024. In addition to a survey with quantitative methods, LSI Denny JA also enriches information and analysis with a qualitative method, such as media analysis, in-depth interview, expert judgment and focus group discussions.