Indicator Survey: Prabowo-Gibran Unggungli Ganjar-Mahfud And Anies-Muhaimin

JAKARTA - The results of a survey by Indonesian Political Indicators for presidential candidates (candidates) and vice presidential candidates (cawapres) from the Indonesia Maju Coalition (KIM) Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka outperformed two other pairs of presidential and vice presidential candidates.

"In this simulation, Prabowo-Gibran is supported by 36.1 percent, while Ganjar-Mahfud 33.7 percent, and Anies-Muhaimin 23.7 percent," said Main Researcher of Indonesian Political Indicators Burhanuddin Muhtadi as reported by ANTARA, Thursday, October 26.

Indonesian Political Indicators say the pair's simulation is no different from the simulation of three names. This is because Prabowo Subianto is also superior to Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan.

In the simulation of three names, Prabowo perched in the top position with support reaching 37 percent. Meanwhile, Ganjar is in second place with 34.8 percent and Anies has 22.3 percent support.

Burhanuddin said Prabowo's advantage also took effect when the democratic party took place in two rounds. In the simulation of two names, the majority chose Prabowo over Ganjar.

"Support for Prabowo is at 50.8 percent, while Ganjar is 37.3 percent," said Burhanuddin.

It is the same if Prabowo is simulated to face Anies. The general chairman of the Gerindra Party is ahead with 54.9 percent, while Anies has 31.7 percent support.

Burhanuddin explained that the migration of votes among the three prospective presidential candidates tends to benefit Prabowo.

If Ganjar does not participate in the contestation, half of his supporting base will switch to Prabowo. Then if Anies does not participate in the contestation, then the base will also move to Prabowo.

Meanwhile, if Prabowo does not participate in the contestation, the base does not switch to one of the candidates for president, but is divided in balance to Anies and Ganjar. Even so, added Burhanuddin, the migration to Ganjar is a little bigger.

The Indicator Survey was conducted on October 16'20, 2023, placing 2,567 respondents with a margin of error of around 1.97 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.

The selected respondents were interviewed face-to-face by interviewers who had been trained. The results of the interview were conducted by a random quality control of 20 percent of the total sample by supervisors and no significant errors were found.