Opta Prediction: Manchester City Wins Strong Favorites To Win 4th Roundley Title Threatened With Relegation

Erling Haaland, still favorite to bring Manchester City to the Premier League champions. (photo: Twitter @mancity)

JAKARTA - Despite having one point less in the Premier League after 12 games than last season, Manchester City is predicted to remain a strong favorite to win a fourth straight title by Opta Analyst data analysts.

Statisticians at Opta Analyst have predicted the final position of each of the 20 teams at the end of the season based on 10,000 campaign simulations from 2023-24, taking into account the performance and schedule of the remaining matches, which are included in the supercomputer.

From this method, the prediction for Pep Guardiola's team looks bright, while Burnley faces a worrying situation.

According to Opta Analyst, City has a probability of 84.6% to win trophies again, while Liverpool were only given a 9.1% chance, and Arsenal, runner-up last season, with 5.6%.

The successive defeat to Tottenham Hotspur, according to Opta, left their chances of winning the title nearly impossible with 0.3%, the same as Aston Villa.

Manchester United, currently in sixth place, is predicted to finish seventh and only have a 5.9% chance of entering the top four, although that number has gone up a bit recently.

Newcastle United have 25% chance of finishing in the top four for the second time in a row, while Chelsea are predicted to finish in ninth.

Opta's calculations also suggest that the bottom three teams, all of whom were promoted last season, are likely to be relegated, with Burnley in 20th position given a 86.9% chance of being relegated.