LSI Survey: Prabowo-Erick Superior From Other Candidates

Prabowo Subianto/DOK Instagram @prabowo

JAKARTA - Executive Director of the Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) Djayadi Hanan said the latest LSI simulations on October 2-8 2023 against three pairs of presidential and vice presidential candidates always put Prabowo-Erick Thohir in the top position.

"In the first simulation, Prabowo-Erick won 38.0 percent or won over Ganjar-Mahfud MD with 32.3 percent and Anies-Muhaimin with 22.9 percent," said Djayadi when presenting the results of the LSI survey entitled "Presional and Legislative Election Maps Ahead of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Candidate Registration Period" reported by ANTARA, Thursday, October 19.

In the next simulation, Prabowo paired with Khofifah won 36.3 percent ahead of Ganjar-Mahfud with 33.0 percent and Anies-Muhaimin with 23.4 percent.

Similar results were repeated when Prabowo paired with Gibran who won 36.0 percent, compared to 33.1 percent achieved by Ganjar-Mahfud, and Anies-Muhaimin with 23.5 percent.

Djayadi said Prabowo always excels in every simulation with whoever his companion is. However, Prabowo's electability reached the strongest level when paired with Erick.

"The advantage is quite significant if Prabowo chooses Erick as a vice presidential candidate," he said.

Djayadi conveyed that Prabowo-Erick's dominance was also reflected in the simulation of two pairs of presidential and vice-presidential candidates if they entered the second round. Djayadi said Prabowo-Erick was so empowered by reaching more than 50 percent or to be precise 50.5 when the head to head with Ganjar-Muhaimin only won 36.2 percent.

Prabowo-Erick also won over Anies-Muhaimin with 52.2 percent compared to 33.8 percent.

Djayadi said that Prabowo was also superior in the simulation of two couples when collaborating with Khofifah with 47.2 percent and Gibran with 47.5 percent.

"However, the advantage is running low with Ganjar-Mahfud which is at 38.1 percent. A significant advantage actually occurs when paired with Erick," he said.

This survey uses the multistage random sampling method against 1,620 respondents who already have the right to vote. The survey has a margin of error of about 2.5 percent at a confidence level of 95 percent.