Poltracking Survey: NU Residents Tend To Choose Prabowo Or Ganjar Instead Of Anies-Cak Imin

Poltracking Survey

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Poltracking survey institute has photographed the public's closeness to Nahdlatul Ulama (NU) which has an effect on the electability rate of three presidential candidates (readpres), namely Prabowo Subianto, Ganjar Pranowo, and Anies Baswedan.

Poltracking noted that as many as 80.1 percent of the public who felt close to the Nahdlatul Ulama (NU) organization tended to choose Prabowo or Ganjar compared to Anies who was paired with the General Chairperson of PKB as well as NU residents, Muhaimin Iskandar or Cak Imin.

"Volators who feel close to NU have a tendency to vote for presidential candidates are quite balanced with Prabowo Subianto 41.7 percent, and Ganjar Pranowo 37.5 percent, while Anies Baswedan is 14.6 percent," said Director of Research at Poltracking Indonesia, Arya Budi in a survey presentation, Wednesday, October 11.

Meanwhile, for vice presidential candidates, Arya continued, the public who are close to NU tends to be balanced in choosing Erick Thohir with 20.8 percent and Mahfud MD 17. 2 percent.

"Meanwhile, Muhaimin Iskandar or Cak Imin is 16.7 percent, and Khofifah Indar Parawansa is 13.7 percent," he continued.

Meanwhile, for Ridwan Kamil 8.1 percent, Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno 4.1 percent, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 2.7 percent, Andika Perkasa 2.0 percent, Puan Maharani 2.0 percent, and Airlangga Hartarto 0.5 percent.

Poltracking Indonesia conducted a survey on September 25-1 October 2023 in East Java using a stratified multistage random sampling method. The number of samples in this survey is 1,000 respondents with a margin of error +/- 3.1 percent, at a 95 percent confidence level.

For information, East Java is the second most populous and determining province on a DPT basis. More than 31 million voters or about 15.5 percent of voters are in East Java. There are other factors that make East Java attractive, culturally East Java based on Nahdlatul Ulama, one of the factors that are always taken into account in the presidential election contestation.

On the other hand, East Java is considered a 'no man' province, so East Java has the potential to determine the victory of the presidential election. Political calculations related to the potential victory and representation of votes from East Java, will be one of the important considerations in the 2024 presidential election.