Ada Perubahan Elektabilitas Di Survei Terbaru Poltracking, Ganjar Turun, Prabowo Naik

JAKARTA - Poltracking Indonesia released the results of a national survey regarding the shift in the electoral map of presidential candidates (candidates) in 2024. Until now, there are only three strong presidential candidates who are electability competitive.

From the results of the latest survey by Poltracking Indonesia, the electability of the Governor of Central Java Ganjar Pranowo has decreased. On the other hand, the electability of Gerindra General Chair Prabowo Subianto has increased.

The Executive Director of Poltracking Indonesia, Hanya Yuda, explained that in the February survey, Ganjar Pranowo's electability was at 34.6 percent, Prabowo Subianto 26.1 percent, and Anies Baswedan 24.4 percent.

Meanwhile, in the March survey, Ganjar Pranowo's electability was 36.9 percent, Prabowo Subianto 27.2 percent, and Anies Baswedan 21.3 percent.

"The latest data on the April survey showed that Prabowo Subianto's electability was 33.0 percent, Ganjar Pranowo 31.1 percent, and Anies Baswedan 22.4 percent," said Hanta Yuda in a survey presentation released Friday, April 28.

Hanta said, the position of the three presidential candidates is very dynamic and competitive, considering that the movement of the third trend is very volatile.

"Especially Prabowo Subianto with 33.0 percent and Ganjar Pranowo 31.1 percent, the electability position is very competitive," said Hanta Yuda.

The Poltracking survey was conducted in February, March, and April 2022 using a stratified multistage random sampling method through face-to-face interviews.

The latest data collection in April was carried out on April 9-15, 2023. The number of samples in each survey was 1,220 respondents with a margin of error +/- 2.9 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.

This survey cluster reaches 34 provinces throughout Indonesia proportionally based on data on the last voter population, while the stratification of this survey is the proportion of voter gender.