Y-P タ: ゲリンドラの当選可能性がPDIPに追い越す機会がある
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JAKARTA - Executive Director of Y-Publica Rudi Hartono said the Gerindra Party's electability has the opportunity to overtake the PDI-P, based on an increase from 14.4 percent in April 2023, now reaching 15.8 percent in May.

"Although still superior, PDIP is threatened with being overtaken by Gerindra's electability, which has experienced a significant upward trend," said Rudi as quoted by ANTARA, Thursday, June 1.

In the February 2023 survey, the electability of the Gerindra Party was 11.7 percent, then 14.4 percent in early April 2023. Furthermore, in May 2023, the electability of the Gerindra Party reached 15.8 percent.

On the other hand, PDIP's electability reached 19.2 percent in February 2023, to 16.8 percent in April 2023, then rose to 17.3 percent in May 2023.

Rudi explained that President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) is predicted to have an impact on opposition forces who want to carry Anies Baswedan as a presidential candidate. The Democrat Party, which is still in the top three, is experiencing an electability correction, now below 10 percent, to be precise 9.7 percent.

He revealed that PKS' electability was 4.6 percent, while the NasDem Party still had to fight below the parliamentary threshold, which was only 3.0 percent.

Other parties are still looking for new positions in the existing dynamics, such as the Golkar Party (8.5 percent), PKB (7.3 percent), and PSI (5.7 percent). The Golkar Party, which is part of the United Indonesia Coalition (KIB), is trying to get closer to the Gerindra-PKB Party camp in the Greater Indonesia Awakening coalition (KIR).

The other two KIB members took a different stance, namely PPP (2.6 percent) and PAN (1.8 percent). PPP decided to support Ganjar Pranowo with PDIP, while PAN was still tough on making choices.

Other parties are the Perindo Party (1.6 percent), the Gelora Party (1.0 percent), and the Ummat Party (0.7 percent), then there is the United Nations (0.6 percent), the Hanura Party (0.2 percent), and PKN (0.1 percent). The Garuda Party and the Labor Party have zero support, while the rest stated that they did not know / did not answer as much as 19.5 percent.

The Y-Publica survey was conducted on May 21-27, 2023, to 1,200 people representing all provinces in Indonesia. Data was taken through face-to-face interviews with respondents who were selected on a multistage random sampling. The margin of error was reduced by 2.89 percent, the confidence level was 95 percent.


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