BANDUNG - The survey results from Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) noted that public support for the Governor of West Java M. Ridwan Kamil as a presidential candidate has strengthened in the last 1.5 years.
"From the results of SMRC's observations and perspectives, there are a number of candidates who have experienced increases and decreases in respondent support. In the last 1.5 years, from March 2021 to August 2022. Support for Ridwan Kamil has increased, Sandi (Sandiaga Uno) has weakened," said the Research Director of SMRC. Deni Irvani in his written statement received in Bandung, Antara, Monday, August 22.
SMRC has re-released the results of the survey on the stock exchange for presidential candidates (candidates) and vice presidential candidates (cawapres) in the 2024 presidential election. Ridwan Kamil's name continues to creep among three other presidential candidates, namely Ganjar Pranowo, Prabowo Subianto and Anies Baswedan. ❤
Deni Irvani in his statement on the survey results said that only a few candidates will participate in the presidential election. However, so far there has been no definitive presidential candidate because the registration of candidates for the 2024 presidential election will only be carried out in October-November 2023.
He said support for Ganjar Pranowo in the semi-open simulation rose from 8.8 percent to 25.2 percent, Anies Baswedan rose from 11.2 percent to 14.4 percent.
"Ridwan Kamil also tends to strengthen from 4.8 percent to 6 percent. Prabowo tends to decline from 20 percent to 16.7 percent, while other figures have not made significant progress," he explained.
The SMRC survey showed that in a semi-open question format 43 names, Ganjar Pranowo received the most support at 25.5 percent, followed by Prabowo 16.7 percent, Anies Baswedan 14.4 percent, Ridwan Kamil 6 percent, AHY 3.8 percent, and other names. under 3 percent and those who don't know 15.1 percent.
Ridwan Kamil, who is often close to the results of his survey with Sandiaga Uno, is now considered superior.
The strengthening of support for Ridwan Kamil was also reflected in the closed-choice simulation of 11 names in which Ganjar received the most support at 27.1 percent, followed by Prabowo 19 percent, Anies Baswedan 15.6 percent, Ridwan Kamil 8.5 percent, AHY 3.5 percent. and other names under 3 percent, who don't know 15.3 percent.
This survey shows that Ridwan Kamil is also unrivaled by AHY and Erick Tohir in the top four positions.
"Ridwan Kamil strengthened, AHY weakened, Khofifah and Erick did not experience significant changes," he added.
Irvan said that although the Constitution explains that only parties can nominate the president, currently there are a number of names of figures who are not from the party elite and are also widely referred to as potential figures as presidential candidates.
They are figures who have high electability or have a positive level of public acceptance (likeability).
According to him, based on the survey results, so far Ganjar Pranowo, Anies Baswedan, Ridwan Kamil, Sandiaga Uno, and then there are figures who have been publicly proposed by the party as one of the presidential candidates (Andika Perkasa).
As well as regional heads with a large voting population (Ridwan Kamil) or having a large social base (Khofifah Indar Parawansa with a Nahdlatul Ulama social base), as well as a figure who looks quite active in socializing himself as a presidential candidate (Erick Thohir). ❤
SMRC said the population of this survey were all Indonesian citizens who had the right to vote in the general election, namely those who were 17 years old or older, or were married when the survey was conducted.
From that population, 1,220 respondents were selected randomly (multistage random sampling). The response rate (respondents who can be interviewed validly) is 1,053 or 86 percent.
A total of 1,053 respondents were analyzed. The survey error rate with this sample size is estimated at ± 3.1 percent at a 95 percent confidence level (assuming simple random sampling). Field interviews in the last survey were conducted from 5 to 13 August 2022.
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