JAKARTA - The conflict between Iran and Israel, which is supported by the United States, finally erupted at the beginning of Ramadan. Which resulted in the death of the Iranian leader Ayatullah Ali Khomeini in the attack on Sunday night (28/Feb/2026), in the city of Tehran after a number of bombs hit residential areas and residential facilities of Khomeini.
Attacks were also reported to continue to spread not only Tehran but also Iranian retaliation attacks on Tel Afif, Sirine Mereung Diabu-dabi and Doha, which are the bases of the American military in the Gulf region. According to Middle East expert Hasibullah Satrawi, although his leadership has been paralyzed, the retaliation attacks have not slackened to the enemy.
The conflict between Iran, Israel, and the US is not something that has suddenly emerged, but is the culmination of a long-standing tension for decades, Iran and Israel have been strategic rivals since the 1979 Iranian revolution. Since Iran has supported armed groups against Israel and opposes its existence.
The US has long placed Israel as a key ally in the Middle East, they have supported it militarily, intelligence, and diplomatically. Iran's nuclear program, which continues to be developed, is a concern for Israel as well as the US that Iran could have nuclear weapons, becoming one of the main sources of tension in the region.
In recent weeks, Israel and the US launched attacks on targets in Iran that resulted in the death of Iran's supreme leader, expanding the dimensions of the conflict. Is This Just a Security Issue.
Retired TNI military observer, who is also a fighter pilot of the Combat Aircraft, Marsda TNI, Agung Sasongkojati, according to him, the first 12 hours of Iran's counterattack had drastically changed the map of the conflict. The massive attack launched forced military analysts to question the resilience of the United States and Israel if they had to face a long-term war. How far the strength of both parties can survive in the midst of an increasingly strange situation.
After the US-Israeli attack on Iran, the credibility and effectiveness of the Board of Peace was questioned, especially since one of those involved in the military attack on Iran was the United States, which was also one of the main actors in the formation of the B-O-P, so Indonesia's inclusion in the BOP was questioned. The effectiveness of the Institution, moreover, Indonesia has offered itself as a mediator in the conflict.
In the midst of the negotiations
Lecturer and Head of the Department of International Relations, UGM, Ririn Tri Nurhayati said that in the midst of negotiations on nuclear that was almost completed, there was an attack that killed the Iranian leader, Ayatullah Khomeini, as a violation of international law. In addition, Iran became a victim of brutal violations. In fact, we know that BOP is an agency that carries out the creation of peace. Therefore, Indonesia's position has long been known as a country that is free and active.
Israel and the US insist that security concerns are the main reason, especially regarding the threat of Iran's nuclear program, which is considered to be able to change the balance of military power in the Middle East. Iran's ballistic missile capabilities that can reach Israeli territory and US bases in the region.
Threats from pro-Iranian militias in the region through proxies such as Hezbollah and Houthis. The US secretary of state even stated that the US was involved to protect its troops and prevent a retaliatory attack that could cause many casualties.
Deeper political and strategic interests, however, a number of analyses and criticisms show that this conflict is not only about security, but also contains broad political and strategic interests, among
A battle for regional influence, Iran has for years tried to expand its influence in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Yemen through political allies and militias. Israel, along with the US, is trying to hinder that expansion because it is considered to strengthen pressure on them.
A broader geopolitical alliance, this conflict occurs in the context of changing the structure of global power. The US is interested in maintaining strategic dominance in the Middle East, including access to major energy routes (oil and gas). Israel is strengthening its alliance with Sunni Arab countries to offset the influence of Shiite Iran.
This shows the dynamics of global multipolar politics in which major powers play their strategic roles. Domestic political narratives. War is often used in domestic politics to strengthen the position of the Government. For certain Israeli and US governments, facing the "Iranian threat" can be used to gain domestic political support, legitimacy for military policies, or other agendas.
Criticism from many developing countries calls this conflict similar to the practice of imperialism or major intervention against other countries. The global reaction that shows the political dimension, many countries - including in Asia, Africa, and Latin America, they condemn Israel and the US, not only because of the violence that occurs but also because it is considered a violation of international law and a global power agenda.
"This conflict cannot be understood as just one thing, security remains an important reason, especially in the official narrative by Israel and the United States, for example, nuclear threats, missiles, and regional military security," he said.
However, broader political interests are clearly visible, such as, the struggle for geopolitical influence in the Middle East, energy security strategies, global alliance dynamics, and domestic political games. It is like the US has always made trouble everywhere and imposed its will, and interrelated political interests - not just purely technical security.
A Middle East defense and international relations observer on the potential escalation towards World War III. as well as how Indonesia's position and fate in the midst of global geopolitics. he helps the public understand the risks, worst-case scenarios, to the realistic steps that Indonesia can take to face the current world uncertainty.
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