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JAKARTA - The electability of Prabowo Subianto, who is currently serving as the Minister of Defense, is still the most superior among other presidential candidates in a number of recent surveys. Although he failed several times in the previous presidential election, in fact, Prabowo's electability rate is still high.

Even in the last two survey institutions, Prabowo became the champion ahead of Anies Baswedan and Ganjar Pranowo.

 

So is Prabowo running again in the 2024 presidential election? Will there be another duet with Sandiaga?

 

SPIN Survey

 

The survey agency from the Indonesian Survey & Polling (SPIN) released the results of the survey and carried out a mapping of the potential for the upcoming 2024 presidential election.

 

From the results of the SPIN survey, the electability of the Minister of Defense Prabowo Subianto is still superior to the figures who are expected to advance in the 2024 presidential election contestation.

 

"Prabowo Subianto won again with an electability of 21.9 percent, followed by Anies Baswedan 16.1 percent, Ganjar Pranowo 15.6 percent, AHY 8.7 percent", said the Director of SPIN Igor Dirgantara when releasing the survey results publicly online, Wednesday, September 8.

 

In addition to the level of electability, the figure of the General Chairperson of the Gerindra Party is also more favored by the people of Indonesia. This is in terms of the popularity of the names of figures who may run in the 2024 presidential election.

 

"Prabowo Subianto still has the highest level of preference compared to other candidates. There is 76.6 percent of respondents who like it", said Igor. This is because there are events that are known to the public regarding their public activities which are widespread and very easily accessible.

 

"The public sees Prabowo's consistent actions and attitudes towards the issues he raised during the campaign before becoming defense minister now", he explained.

 

Meanwhile, in the survey conducted by SPIN, the majority of the public also saw the performance of President Joko Widodo's government was also good, as well as in dealing with the COVID-19 pandemic.

 

According to Igor, this is a very good form of achievement in the context of performance. Because without much need to do imagery such as installing billboards, the government's performance is still seen by the community as very good.

 

"Most of the respondents, an aggregate of 46.6 percent answered positively the government's performance", he said.

 

The survey was conducted by random sampling to 1.670 respondents aged over 17 years. Data collection was carried out on August 7 - August 21, 2021, in 34 provinces in Indonesia with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percent, 95% confidence interval.

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ASI Survey

The general chairman of the Gerindra Party, Prabowo Subianto is still the general chairman of the party that has high electability to run in the 2024 presidential election. This is based on a simulation, if the presidential election is held at this time and is followed by the general chairman of the party.

Prabowo gets a figure of 10.2 percent. The second position is the Chairperson of the Democratic Party Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (8.6 percent) and the Chairperson of the Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDIP) Megawati Soekarnoputri (6.3 percent).

"This is a portrait of the general chairmen, if we measure it, it is quite different from our findings four months ago, it is very volatile", said Executive Director of the Indonesian Survey Flow (ASI), Ali Rif'an in an online release, Wednesday, September 8.

Under these three names, there are PAN Party chairman Zulkifli Hasan (4.7 percent), Golkar Party chairman Airlangga Hartarto (2.4 percent), PKB Party chairman Abdul Muhaimin Iskandar (1.6 percent), and PKS Party President Ahmad Syaikhu. (1.5 percent).

Chairman of Perindo Party Hary Tanoesoedibjo (1.1 percent), and Chairman of PPP Party Suharso Manoarfa (0.9 percent). Then the Chairperson of Gelora Anis Matta (0.7 percent), the Chairperson of PSI Party Giring Ganesha (0.3 percent), and the Chairperson of the PBB Yusril Ihza Mahendra (0.1 percent).

ASI conducted a survey from August 26 to September 3, 2021. The number of respondents was as many as 1.200 with a margin of error of approximately 2.9 percent at the 95 percent confidence level. Respondents were contacted by an interview via telephone contact using a questionnaire. The telephone numbers of respondents in this survey were obtained from the ASI survey database from 2019 to 2021

SEE ALSO:

Prabowo - Sandi Chapter II, Will It Happen?
 

The survey institute from the Indonesian Survey & Polling (SPIN) said that Prabowo's survey, which was the most superior, meant that the public still gave the Gerindra chairman an opportunity to re-nominate him as a presidential candidate.

 

It is known that Prabowo Subianto won again with electability of 21.9 percent. Followed by the second position, Anies Baswedan 16.1 percent, third Ganjar Pranowo 15.6 percent, fourth AHY 8.7 percent, fifth Ridwan Kamil 5.0 percent.

 

"Being in the top 5 is actually enough to raise views on whether (Prabowo, ed) can advance again", said Director of SPIN Igor Dirgantara when releasing the results of the online survey, Wednesday, September 8.

 

However, said Igor, the issue of Prabowo running again in the 2024 presidential election depends on the party coalition. According to him, the Gerindra Party must form a coalition with other parties if it wants to win Prabowo to become president.

 

"From this survey, Mr. Prabowo is still wanted by the community or gives Prabowo the opportunity to take part in the next election", explained Igor.

 

It's also about bringing back together with Sandiaga Uno. However, if the Prabowo-Sandi candidate pair reappears in the 2024 presidential election, it must be supported by a large coalition.

 

"If he is paired with Sandi, it is unlikely, unless he is supported by a large coalition. Pak Prabowo's problem is now because he is already in government, there is a high possibility of voter migration between those who do not like Jokowi's government and those who do not", said Igor.

 

"That's why I am a bit hesitant to say that Mr. Prabowo if he runs again, will not be re-elected. Because he has disappointed his supporters but voter migration is possible. It is possible that Pak Jokowi's supporters feel respect and appreciate Pak Prabowo's performance to work together with the president to handle The pandemic even appreciates him too", he continued.

 

Therefore, Igor believes that the possibility of Prabowo pairing with Sandi still exists, but it depends on elite maneuvers in injury time.

 

"It could be called politics, Prabowo could be paired with Sandi, paired with Puan, with Anies, with Ganjar, everything is very possible", said Igor.

 

What is clear, he added, the presidential and vice-presidential candidates will pay attention to 4 conditions. Namely ethnicity, gender, background, and age.

 

"Well, if young and old, it's Prabowo-Sandi", said Igor.

The English, Chinese, Japanese, Arabic, and French versions are automatically generated by the AI. So there may still be inaccuracies in translating, please always see Indonesian as our main language. (system supported by DigitalSiber.id)

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