Expert: Trace Record Of Potracking Tested Performing Survey Methods Well

Illustration of elections and regional elections. (Between)

JAKARTA - Poltracking Indonesia proves itself to be the most accurate survey agency in the country. The consistency and accuracy of its predictions from the 2014 to the 2024 elections shows the superiority of its data methodology and integrity.

This achievement further strengthens the position of Poltracking as the most accurate benchmark for the national political survey agency.

Poltracking's advantages have been seen since the 2014 election, as revealed by political expert Prof. Dr. Pledge Nusa Bhakti in a statement delivered at a Controversy program at a private TV station in Jakarta, Thursday, November 7.

"I still remember Hanta Yuda once making a statement when she did the quick count and Poltracking Institute was the closest to the results of the 2014 election," he said in a written statement, Monday, November 11.

The professor's statement which also showed that from the start, Poltracking was the most clear survey agency in view of democratic contestation. Ikrar said that Poltracking proves credibility as a survey agency that is able to be accountable for data accurately.

"So what I'm saying here means he did, Poltracking at that time did really, really well, especially when after the poll happened," he said.

The accuracy of Poltracking Indonesia did not stop in 2014. In the 2019 presidential election, this institution again showed its spurs by releasing survey results that were closest to the official results of the Indonesian General Elections Commission (KPU). The survey conducted on April 1-8 2019 showed the electability of the Jokowi-Ma'ruf pair of 54.5 percent and Prabowo-Sandiaga 45.5 percent.

This accuracy was achieved thanks to the state-of-the-art method implemented by Poltracking. The survey was conducted using a predictive model that generates probability values, used to predict the direction of voters who have not made a choice. This method shows Poltracking's superiority in managing undecided voters data.

Poltracking's commitment to data accuracy and representation is proven through the multistage random sampling method applied. With a sample of 2,000 respondents and a margin of error of buh2.2 percent at a 95 percent confidence level, Poltracking shows high standards in data collection and analysis.

Poltracking's achievements can be seen in the 2024 presidential election continuing, where this institution occupies the top position in the comparison of quick count results with KPU recapitulation from all survey institutions that are members of Perception. Poltracking shows its superiority by using samples of up to 3000 polling stations throughout Indonesia, far exceeding other standard survey institutions.

Poltracking's quick count results for the 2024 presidential election show extraordinary accuracy. With 100 percent entry data, Poltracking's prediction is only 0.12 percent on average from the official KPU results. This shows an unprecedented level of precision in the history of Indonesia's political surveys.

Poltracking's success lies not only in numbers, but also in increasing public trust. The consistency of accuracy from elections to elections has turned public skepticism into confidence in Poltracking's integrity and professionalism.

The achievement of Poltracking is clear evidence that Indonesian survey institutions are able to compete in the international arena. With a consistent track record and methodology that continues to be refined, Poltracking is not only the pride of the national survey industry, but also a reference for similar institutions around the world.