LKPI Gorontalo Pilkada Survey: Tonny Uloli Unggul Followed By Nelson Pomalingo And Marten Thaha

ILLUSTRATION OF DOK VOI

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Election Study Institute (LKPI) released the results of a survey of candidates who will run in the 2024 Gorontalo Province gubernatorial election (Pilgub). As a result, Tonny Uloli was superior, followed by Nelson Pomalingo and Marten Thaha.

"The results of a survey related to the electability level (top of Mind) of Gorontalo governor candidates after a survey was conducted on 1,200 residents of Gorontalo Province. The question is, who is the person chosen by you as the Governor of Gorontalo if the gubernatorial election is held today," said LKPI Executive Director Togu Lubis to reporters, Monday, July 15.

"As a result, Tonny Uloli is ahead with 22.2 percent, followed by Nelson Pomalingo with 18.1 percent, and Marten Thaha with 14.2 percent,"

The fourth position, Lubis continued, was Gusnar Ismail with 8.2 percent, and fifth Idah Syahidah with 6.2 percent. While the seventh position was filled by Elnino MH Mohi with 5.7 percent, the eighth Roem Kono with 4.1 percent, eight Syarif Mbuinga with 3.2 percent and did not vote 18.1 percent.

"In the simulation of the top of mind to measure the electability level of the prospective governor candidates is carried out without offering the names of the candidates for governor to the respondents," said Lubis.

LKPI also conducted a simulation test of 5 candidates for governorship of Gorontalo through a closed question by offering the name of the candidate for governor. As a result, the former Deputy Governor for the 2010 '2012 period, Tonny Uloli, again excelled with 28.6 percent of the survey.

Furthermore, Marten Taha was still followed by 20.3 percent, Nelson Pomalingo 19.4 percent, Ida Syahidah 10.1 percent, Gusnar Ismail 8.4 percent and did not choose 13.8 percent.

Meanwhile, in the simulation of 4 candidates for governorship of Gorontalo at the electability level, Tonny Uloli remained in first place with a survey of 35.7 percent. Followed by Marten Taha at 24.2 percent and Nelson Pomalingo at 23.6 and Ida Syahidah, the wife of the former governor of Gorontalo, was 11.4 percent, and did not vote 5.1 percent.

LKPI also conducted simulation tests to measure the level of electability by offering 5 names nominated by the Golkar Party. Such as Idah Syahida, Syarif Mbuinga, Marten Taha, Roem Kono, and Tonny Uloli, with closed questions.

As a result, survey data showed that Tonny Uloli's name was at the top of the electability rate with 37.2 percent, Marten Taha 24.2 percent, Roem Kono 10.2 percent, Ida Syahida 8.3 percent, Syarif Mbuinga 6.4 percent, and did not choose 13.8 percent.

"From the survey results, Tonny Uloli, who is absolute superior, but the chances of Marten Taha and Nelson Pomalingo, the electability level to increase are still wide open," said Lubis.

Lubis assessed that the absence of incumbent governors and strong national figures such as NasDem politician Rachmad Gobel made any candidate have the opportunity to increase his electability.

"Moreover, until now there has been no official statement from Rachmat Gobel whether to participate in the 2024 Gorontalo gubernatorial election or not. So, the electability rate has the opportunity for Tonny Uloli as a former deputy governor of Gorontalo from other candidates for governor," he said.

The LKPI survey was conducted in the period 26 June-6 July 2024 with a sample of 1,200 respondents with a survey error tolerance limit of +/- 2.83 percent, at a 95 percent confidence level.

This survey took selected samples in 5 regencies and 1 city in Gorontalo with the data collection process carried out through face-to-face interviews using structured questionnaires.