SMRC Survey: Support For Ridwan Kamil Reaches 50.6 Percent In West Java

Ridwan Kamil. (Photo: Doc. Antara)

JAKARTA - The survey institute Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) captured the opportunities for governor candidates in the West Java Pilkada. As a result, Ridwan Kamil received support of 50.6 percent. "If the West Java governor election was held when the survey was conducted on 9 June-1 July 2024, Ridwan Kamil had the biggest chance to win," said Executive Director of SMRC, Deni Irvani, through the SMRC TV YouTube channel, quoted from Antara, Saturday, July 13. "In semi-open simulations with a list of names, Ridwan Kamil received 50.6 percent support, followed by Dedi Mulyadi 25.1 percent, Deddy Mizwar 3.7 percent, Dede Yusuf Macan Effendi 2.7 percent, Bima Arya 2, 2 percent, and Desy Ratnasari 2, 1 percent. While the other names were below 2 percent each. While those who did not know or did not answer were around 4.1 percent. Then if the West Java gubernatorial election was only followed by three candidates, continued Deni, Ridwan Kamil's vote rose to 55.8 percent. The vote acquisition of the former West Java governor was significant ahead of the former Purwakarta regent, Dedi Mulyadi who received 35.5 percent support. Meanwhile, PKS President Ahmad Syaikhu was only 4.3 percent. While those who did not know about 4.4 percent. Deni explained the scenario of these three candidates based on the assumption of three parties with the highest vote acquisition in the legislative election (Pileg) 2024 if each made the governor's axis. Ridwan Kamil represented Golkar, Dedi Mulyadi's axis of Gerindra's axis, and Ahmad Syaikhu from the PKS axis. If competing only two names, added Deni, Ridwan Kamil got 60.8 percent support. Unggul on Dedi Mulyadi who got the vote 34, 5 percent. While those who did not know about 4.7 percent.

“Dalam dua bulan terakhir (Mei-Juni 2024) elektabilitas para bakal calon cenderung stabil, perubahannya masih dalam margin of error survei (perbedaan kurang dari 4,6 persen). Ridwan Kamil tetap unggul jauh di atas tokoh-tokoh lainnya,” jelas Deni Survei Saiful Mujani Research and Consulting (SMRC) dilakukan pada 9 Juni-1 Juli 2024. Survei ini melibatkan 410 orang yang punya hak pilih di setiap kabupaten/kota, sehingga total sampel di seluruh Provinsi Jawa Barat menjadi 11.070 orang. Survei dilakukan melalui wawancara tatap muka dengan metode stratified multistage random sampling. Toleransi kesalahan (margin of error) survei diperkirakan ±1,1 persen pada tingkat kepercayaan 95 persen.