JAKARTA - The name Kaesang Pangarep has the highest electability in the Central Java gubernatorial candidate market based on the Indonesian Political Indicators survey.
The founder of Indicators, Burhanuddin Muhtadi, explained that in his survey, the reason most respondents chose Kaesang was because he came from the family of a political figure, namely the family of President Joko Widodo.
"This means that people choose Kaesang not far from his father. So, he comes from the family of political figures," said Burhanuddin in a virtual survey presentation, Sunday, July 7.
So, according to Burhanuddin, Jokowi's status as Kaesang's father has a strong role in increasing Kaesang's electability to be the most superior to other figures.
"Once again, this shows that Jokowi's factor explains very strongly why Kaesang is currently ahead in Central Java," said Burhanuddin.
Kaesang's position as Jokowi's youngest son is also related to Kaesang's popularity in society. Of the 20 names of figures, Kaesang ranks second with a high popularity rate of 84.8 percent.
The first order is occupied by the name Raffi Ahmad. However, Burhanuddin considers this natural because Raffi is a celebrity who has long appeared on television.
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"This popularity factor is crucial. This explains why Kaesang is temporarily superior because Kaesang's popularity is very high, almost 85 percent. Only 1 name matches the introduction of Kaesang in Central Java. His name is Raffi Ahmad. Naturally, because Raffi Ahmad is an artist, from before dawn until he wanted to sleep he was on TV," explained Burhanuddin.
"While other names tend to be under Kaesang, his popularity is half below him," he added.
In the Indicator survey, Kaesang has the highest electability in the simulation of a survey of 20 candidate names with 17.7 percent electability.
The second highest electability was occupied by the Central Java Police Chief Ahmad Luthfi at 15.6 percent. The founder of Indicator Burhanuddin Muhtadi said Ahmad Luthfi was a tough competitor to Kaesang because the percentage of electability was still within the margin of error range.
The third position was filled by former Deputy Governor of Central Java Taj Yasin Maimoen with 12.8 percent electability. After that, PDIP politician Bambang Wuryanto or Bambang Pacul with 6 percent electability.
Then, there is the name Kendal Regent Dico Ganinduto with 5.6 percent electability, Raffi Ahmad 4.4 percent, Achmad Husein 3.4 percent, M. Yusuf Chudiori 3.3 percent, Sudaryono 3.2 percent, and several other names with electability below 3 percent.
For information, this survey was conducted in the period 10-17 June 2024 with a total sample of 800 respondents from all regencies/cities in Central Java.
The response was obtained through a multistage random sampling technique with a margin of error of > 3.5 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent.
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