KARAWANG - The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts the potential for extreme weather during the 2024 Eid Al-Fitr homecoming in the East Java region to several regions in eastern Indonesia to increase along with the emergence of 96S cyclone seeds.

"The seeds of the 96S cyclone appear centered around the Savu Sea," said BMKG Deputy for Meteorology Guswanto as reported by ANTARA, Thursday, April 4.

He explained that the 96S cyclone seeds affect the maximum wind speed ranging from 28-37 kilometers per hour with pressure at its center of around 1,007 mb.

Based on the BMKG analysis, it is known that the maximum wind movement due to the pressure is directed to the southwest to the south or away from the southern waters of East Nusa Tenggara.

Under these conditions, according to him, the 96S cyclone seed system increases the potential for moderate to high risk in the next two or three days. It predicts that cyclones will increase rain with moderate to very heavy intensity in the regions of Bali, West Nusa Tenggara, and East Nusa Tenggara.

Furthermore, increasing the potential for strong winds around East Java, Bali, West Nusa Tenggara, and East Nusa Tenggara.

It can even cause high waves of 1.25 - 2.5 meters around the Indian Ocean south of West Nusa Tenggara, East Nusa Tenggara, the western Sumba Strait, the southern waters of Sumba Island, the southern waters of Kupang - Rote Island, and the southern part of the Savu Sea.

The significance of weather conditions in Indonesian territory is also supported by Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) Activities as well as the Kelvin Wave and Equatorial Rossby phenomena which are still monitored and are predicted to be active in Indonesian territory in the same period. Including, warm sea level temperatures also play a role in providing conditions that support significant rain cloud growth in Indonesian territory.

"Therefore, BMKG asks all parties to be more careful and remain vigilant when carrying out activities in the next few days. Especially the travelers for the Lebaran period who are expected to monitor weather developments before traveling," he said.


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