Ganjar's Voice Is Different, The Evidence Of Voters Is Not Close To PDIP

Ganjar Pranowo and Mahfud MD while campaigning (Photo of the Ganjar Campaign Team)

JAKARTA The difference in votes between the PDI-P and Ganjar Pranowo in the results of the 2024 General Election is considered due to the low community closeness factor with the PDI-P.

"So based on the results of quick calculations, various survey institutions show Ganjar's figure is 16 percent, while PDIP is 17-18 percent," said UGM political observer Arya Budi, Sunday, February 18.

According to him, based on the experience of the 2004 to 2019 elections, the elected presidential candidate was able to appoint a party that carries or provides a coat-tail effect. For example, when SBY and Jokowi were elected, both of them appointed the Democratic Party and PDIP.

"Well, 2024 is strange, why? Because Ganjar's voice seems the same as or smaller than PDIP. Strange on a national scale but not in small cases," he said.

Arya assessed that this happened because of a split ticket voting, where voters voted differently for parties and presidential candidates. "So PDIP has a problem between presidential and party figures. The voters psychologically understand that the presidential and party candidates are two different things," he added.

He explained that the phenomenon of split ticket voting occurred because people were close to low parties.

"In Indonesia, there are only about a fifth or less of people close to the party, 20 percent or less outside the election period, that's only the figure of 10 percent. Now the rest of the swing people chose the presidential candidate and the party had two different political entities," he explained.

Another factor, namely related to legislative candidates. Arya stated, based on the results of research conducted in the 2014 and 2019 elections, party votes were contributed by many voters.

The PDIP vote could have been contributed very largely by its legislative candidates. Meanwhile, sympathizers or voters who vote for legislative candidates from the PDIP may have chosen another presidential candidate," he said.