January Survey, 84 Percent Of The Public Wants One Round Of The 2024 Presidential Election

Illustration of the 2024 Election (ANTARA)

JAKARTA - The latest survey of the Indonesian Survey Circle (LSI) Denny JA conducted on 1,200 respondents found that 84% of the public wanted the 2024 presidential election to be held in one round. "So those who want the one round presidential election to be more than 80%," said senior LSI researcher Denny JA Adjie Alfaraby in a survey release at the LSI Denny JA office, in his statement, Tuesday, January 30. Adji explained that around 10.8% of the public did not support the one-round presidential election, while 5.2% did not provide an answer. In this context, Adji sees the opportunity for the one-round presidential election to be increasingly open, given the trend of survey results showing the increase in the electability of the Prabowo-Gibran pair from late December to early January 2024. "Currently, Prabowo's electability 'Gibran' continued to increase. In the late December 2023 survey, their electability was 43.3%, increasing to 46.6% in early January 2024, and now reaching 50.7% at the end of January," explained Adji. Adidji stated that the opportunity for the one-round presidential election is getting bigger because of the consistent increase of candidate pair number 2 is 2. By taking into account the margin of error by 2.9%, Adji assessed that Prabowo-Gibran could achieve 53.6% of noise gain. Even in the worst case scenario, their electability is still at 47.8%. "Although there is a possibility of two rounds, the chance of a one-round presidential election is getting bigger with a consistent increase in electability above the margin of error of the survey," he added.

The LSI Denny JA survey was conducted through face-to-face interviews using questionnaires to 1,200 respondents throughout Indonesia. This survey was conducted on January 16-26 2024. In addition to quantitative methods, LSI Denny JA also combined qualitative methods, such as media analysis, in-depth interviews, expert assessments, and focused group discussions.