BMKG Predicts Climate Conditions In 2024 In Indonesia Are Neutral

Illustration. Head of BMKG Dwikorita Karnawati pointed to a monitor containing weather forecast data. (Between-Andreas Fitri Atmoko)

JAKARTA - The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) released the 2024 Climate View as planning and development activities in related or affected sectors by climate phenomena.

Head of BMKG Dwikorita Karnawati explained that in general, climate conditions in Indonesia in 2024 will be in a neutral phase.

"Throughout 2024, climate disruption from the Pacific Ocean, namely ENSO, is predicted to be in the weak-moderate El Nino phase in early 2024. Then by the end of 2024 it is predicted to be in the Neutral phase," said Dwikorita in his statement, Sunday, December 31.

According to Dwikorita, there is a fairly small chance that climate conditions develop into the La Nina phenomenon which is a trigger for the wet climate anomaly.

Likewise, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) phenomenon, which is the cause of climate disruption from the Indian Ocean, is predicted to be in the Neutral phase from the beginning to the end of 2024.

"Based on the dynamics of the atmosphere, the amount of annual rainfall in 2024 is predicted to generally range from normal conditions," he said.

However, there are several areas that are predicted to experience annual rain above normal. Among them are a small part of Aceh, southern West Sumatra, a small part of Riau, a small part of South Kalimantan, a small part of Gorontalo, a small part of Central Sulawesi, northern West Sulawesi, a small part of South Sulawesi, a small part of West Papua and northern Papua.

There are also areas that are predicted to experience annual rain below normal, including parts of Banten, a small part of West Java, a small part of Central Java, parts of Yogyakarta, a small part of East Java, a small part of East Nusa Tenggara, and southern Papua.

"Although the 2024 dry season is predicted to take place normally, there are areas that have the potential to experience drought because climateally it does have low rainfall, which includes parts of Lampung, parts of Java, parts of Bali, parts of West Nusa Tenggara, parts of East Nusa Tenggara and southern Papua," explained Dwikorita.