JAKARTA - A senior researcher from the Public Vote Circle, Indra Nuryadin said, all figures who have the potential to run in the 2024 presidential election have a fairly high level of popularity and likeability. Call it Ganjar Pranowo, Prabowo Subianto, Anies Baswedan to Ridwan Kamil.
However, at the top of the ladder, the name Prabowo Subianto is unstoppable. For popularity, the General Chair of the Gerindra Party was able to reap 95.1 percent. Meanwhile, the likeability is 74.5 percent.
"All figures have high popularity and likability, but Prabowo is still at the top. This is reasonable considering his work in national politics in the last 13 years after reform and his success in leading the Ministry of Defense and his defense diplomacy in the international arena," said Indra as quoted by Antara. , Jakarta, Monday, June 20.
Following Prabowo, at the second electability level, DKI Jakarta Governor Anies Baswedan (87.7 percent popularity and 57.7 percent likeability), West Java Governor Ridwan Kamil (87.8 percent popularity and 57.4 percent likeability), then Governor Central Java Ganjar Pranowo (87.7 percent popularity and 55.7 percent likeability).
Not only that, continued Indra, his institution also highlighted the electability of the names of the figures on his radar. As a result, Prabowo Subianto became a presidential candidate in 2024 with the highest electability rate in the closed-question format with 27.7 percent gain.
"From the results of this survey, for the time being, no presidential candidate has fiercely approached or even matched or surpassed Prabowo's electability level. Although slowly, Prabowo's electability number continues to increase closer to his vote acquisition in the 2019 election," he explained.
Moreover, Indra said, until now Prabowo Subianto has not shown his intensity as a presidential candidate, both in declaration activities and certain winning works.
For Indra, this picture of the situation shows that Prabowo Subianto can go far if the political machine is really set in motion, especially if the General Chairperson of the Gerindra Party clearly declares himself to be running for the 2024 presidential election.
"Prabowo, who has not shown his intention to become a presidential candidate either by declaring himself or doing winning works, has succeeded in increasing his electability to 27.7 percent. This is also reflected in the trend of increasing votes obtained from the survey results of several survey institutions," he said again.
The two closest presidential contenders, Anies and Ganjar, are neck-to-neck, each sharing a percentage figure of 16.8 percent for Anies and 16.5 percent for Ganjar. The gain is only 0.3 percent.
What's interesting is that the electability of Mrs. Slowly he managed to cut the difference with other candidates and approached AHY with a difference of only 0.4 percent. It is not impossible, Puan, in the next few months, the child of Megawati Soekarnoputri can surpass Ganjar and Anies.
The Public Vote Circle also simulates the electability of presidential candidates from the elite political parties
The results show an advantage for Prabowo's electability. Prabowo's electoral gain increased to 32.7 percent. Followed by Puan Maharani 20.1 percent, AHY 16.8 percent, Muhaimin Iskandar 10.9 percent and Airlangga Hartarto 8.8 percent.
This survey was conducted on May 29-9 June 2022 with a sample size of 1230 respondents and a margin of error of 2.8 percent with a confidence level of 95 percent.
The sample is a population aged 17 years and over and distributed proportionally in 34 provinces in Indonesia. Data was collected by means of face-to-face interviews with the help of a questionnaire.
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