Observer Of The Value Of The Coalition Of Golkar, PAN, And PPP It's Hard To Happen

Golkar Party Chairman Airlangga Hartarto (third left) talks with PAN Chairman Zulkifli Hasan (third right) and PPP General Chair Suharso Monoarfa (second left) accompanied by party officials during a meeting in Jakarta

JAKARTA - Political observer Nyarwi Ahmad views that the coalition agreement between Golkar, PAN, and PPP has the potential to provide a new color that will distinguish the current and political dynamics of the 2024 Presidential Election from the 2019 Presidential Election. 2024 could be different from what happened before the 2019 presidential election," Nyarwi said as quoted from a written statement in Jakarta, Saturday, May 14. Furthermore, the Executive Director of Indonesian Presidential Studies (IPS) assessed that the coalition implies four things. First, he said. , a coalition of political parties (parties) that do not have popular figures with a reliable level of electability to win the 2024 presidential election, can have two consequences for figures who are popular and have electability by survey data from credible survey institutions. .The first consequence, according to Nyarwi, is the figure-toko h has a popular potential and has good electability acceleration potential, but is not the general chairman of the party, there will be a great chance to be nominated from the coalition built by Golkar, PAN, and PPP. among the leaders or leaders of the party, then their chances of getting a presidential or vice presidential ticket from the coalition of these three parties will disappear," he said. unlikely to happen. The possibility that happens is that the three parties will hold a convention to get the presidential candidate with the most potential to win the 2024 presidential election. However, for the cawapres position, he said, it is likely to be filled by one of the three general chairpersons of these political parties. Hartarto to be nominated as a vice presidential candidate seems to be the biggest," he said Nyarwi. Furthermore, the second thing implied by the coalition of Golkar, PAN, and PPP is the possibility of the emergence of internal dynamics of each party or external inter-party in Senayan which is getting hotter in order to maximize opportunities in the 2024 presidential election. the winner in the 2024 presidential election will be different from the 2019 presidential election, because the parties are much stronger than the figures or volunteer communities supporting popular figures.

"Fourth, this meeting also indicates that the 2024 presidential election battle market is likely to be filled with three or four epicenters of the party coalition," said Nyarwi. in winning the 2024 presidential election. Nyarwi also said that Golkar, PAN, and PPP could develop into an epicenter of a solid political party coalition because they have two advantages, namely having different characteristics of political organization machines and having a heterogeneous electoral market segment or voters. can be an important capital to win the 2024 presidential election. These two conditions also make them complement each other," said Nyarwi. Meanwhile outside Golkar, Nyarwi said there were three other parties that could become the epicenter of the coalition, namely NasDem, PDIP, and Gerindra. According to him, the three parties will build their own coalition epicenter.