SURABAYA - The Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) released a semi-open simulated survey of figures for presidential and vice-presidential candidates in 2024. As a result, Prabowo and Ganjar will compete tightly in East Java in the 2024 presidential election.
"There are several factors that make Prabowo superior, including popularity, the two levels of preference. Then Pak Prabowo's position as a minister, and currently Prabowo is the only Ketum who clearly will run as a presidential candidate, and finally Prabowo has quite a lot of votes in the election. in 2019", said LSI Executive Director, Djayadi Hanan, when releasing a survey on the simulation results of the 2024 Presidential Election in Surabaya, Wednesday, March 30.
In the findings of the survey results, continued Djayadi, Prabowo and Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo will compete fiercely as the candidate most voted for by the public, if the presidential election is held during the survey.
In the semi-open simulation, Ganjar Pranowo was chosen by 22.5 percent, a difference of about two percent from Prabowo Subianto who got 20.2 percent.
"The Governor of East Java Khofifah Indar Parawansa is in the third position at 10.6 percent, followed by Tri Rismaharini at 7.5 percent, and Anies Baswedan at 5.7 percent. While the other names are lower, less than 4 percent, and have not answered 7.8 percent", he said.
According to Djayadi, there are three main reasons people choose a presidential candidate, namely the people or paying attention to the people, being firm and authoritative, honest/clean from KKN.
Prabowo was chosen mainly for the firm and authoritative reasons. Meanwhile, Ganjar Pranowo was chosen for reasons of the people/concern for the people.
For the vice-presidential candidate, the Governor of East Java, Khofifah, is the public's first choice. In a simulation of 11 names of vice-presidential candidates, Khofifah is in the first place as the most suitable candidate for vice president.
Khofifah was chosen as a vice-presidential candidate by 21.8 percent of voters, then Ganjar by 14.5 percent, Ridwan Kamil by 13.4 percent, and Sandiaga Uno by 13.2 percent. Next is Anies Baswedan with 10.6 percent, AHY with 7.5 percent, and other names under 4 percent.
Khofifah's position is inseparable from her performance as governor, which is considered positive by the community. The level of satisfaction of the people of East Java with the governor is high, with 71.3 percent saying they are satisfied and 18.3 percent saying they are very satisfied.
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The 2024 presidential electability survey was conducted from 6 to 13 March 2022. The survey population was all Indonesian citizens in East Java who had the right to vote in the general election, namely those who were 17 years old or older, or were married when the survey was conducted.
The method in this survey uses multistage random sampling with a total of 1,200 respondents in 38 districts/cities in East Java. The data collection technique used face-to-face interviews with respondents using a questionnaire, with a margin of error of ± 2.9 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.
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