JAKARTA - The Ministry of Transportation predicts that the peak of the homecoming flow during the Christmas 2025 and New Year 2026 (Nataru) holidays will occur on D-5 or Saturday, December 20 and D-2 Christmas or Wednesday, December 24, 2025.
Based on the results of a survey conducted by the Transportation Policy Agency, on December 20, 2025, it is predicted that there will be 11.83 million people. Then, the movement sloped and rose again on D-1 Christmas or December 24, 2025, with an estimated movement of 17.18 million people.
"The peak occurred in two days. The first was on December 20. Another was at the second peak on December 24," said Transportation Minister Dudy Purwagandhi at a media briefing, in Jakarta, Friday, December 5.
Meanwhile, the peak of backflow, continued Dudy, is predicted to occur on Friday, January 2, 2026, with an estimated movement of 20.81 million people.
"Then for the backflow on the 2nd (January) yes," he said.
Dudy said to monitor the movement of the community during the 2025/2026 Nataru holiday, the Ministry of Transportation will also hold the 2025/2026 Nataru Transportation Integrated Command Post from 18 December 2025 to 5 January 2026.
This time, what needs to be considered is quite extreme weather conditions that must be watched out for. So we need cooperation, very close collaboration from all stakeholders so that the implementation of Nataru transportation can run well," he said.
Dudy said the Ministry of Transportation continues to coordinate with BMKG and related stakeholders through the Nataru Command Post, as well as adding personnel in standby areas.
"We must also pay attention to the use of private vehicles, ensure that the streets and then the facilities provided for vehicle users can be well available so that they can guarantee that they reach their destination," he said.
In addition, said Dudy, other mitigation is also carried out in all transportation sectors, both land, sea, air, and rail. In the land sector, the Ministry of Transportation prepares buffer zones, implements delaying systems, contraflows, to oneway situationally, including crossing arrangements.
"In the marine sector, the Ministry of Transportation has prepared navigation and patrol ships, as well as buffer zones in the area around the port, including preparing alternative ports," he explained.
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In the air sector, the Ministry of Transportation conducts ramp checks, optimizes airport operating hours, and increases flight capacity. In the rail sector, a Special Monitoring Area (DAPSUS) is prepared, Materials for Alert (AMUS) and personnel alerting at level crossings.
Dudy said that his party prioritized the safety and security of all modes of transportation during the Nataru 2025/2026 period. In this context, the Ministry of Transportation has ramp checked 40,683 land vehicles, 987 sea ships, 191 ferry boats, 363 serviceable aircraft, and 3,333 rail facilities.
Furthermore, Dudy appealed to all parties to anticipate traffic congestion in tourist attractions, arterial routes, especially those with spilled markets, to railroad crossings.
"Synergy and collaboration between institutions need to be carried out intensively to ensure that the policies implemented run uniformly. In addition, this is also important so that operations in the field can be carried out safely and under control," said Dudy.
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