JAKARTA - Padjajaran University (UNPAD) International Relations Observer Teuku Rezasyah assessed that the attack by Israel and the United States (US) on Iran could have a major impact on the region.
"This will have a big impact," said Rezasyah when contacted by Antara in Jakarta, Saturday, February 28.
Rezasyah said that the Israeli and US attacks on Iran were secretly carried out by a number of US military bases in the Middle East region, although many countries in the Middle East stated that they did not allow their airspace to be passed during the attack.
Meanwhile, Rezasyah predicted that Iran would retaliate through an all-out attack on Israel, as they did in the Twelve-Day War in June 2025.
"What he is responding to now is a small retaliation and for that, he is still waiting for a fatwa from the Ayatollah, because the Ayatollah has not given a final answer, he is still giving a standard answer," he said.
On the other hand, Iran still needs to consider various things before launching a major retaliatory attack, including considering the weather and the target of the attack.
"Understanding the weather and also understanding the target is important. So, even though Iran already has a clear target, but this must be adjusted to, for example, remote sensing systems, it must be adjusted to existing satellite systems," he said.
According to Rezasyah, Iran is also likely to receive support from China, Russia, and Pakistan.
Furthermore, Rezasyah estimated that US military bases in Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Jordan, and Egypt were already within the target of Iranian ballistic missiles.
"And the countries above are in trouble because Iran is the only one who dares to fight against the territorial ambitions of Israel and the United States in the Middle East," he said.
Then, he also estimated the potential for Iran to conduct war exercises in the Strait of Hormuz. This situation could affect world energy traffic.
Considering the potential for a massive counterattack that Iran may carry out, Rezasyah assessed that this time the war would have a major impact on the Middle East region.
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