JAKARTA Political observer of the Indonesia Political Review (IPR), Iwan Setiawan assessed that President Prabowo should be able to evaluate including a cabinet reshuffle in the near future with a large number of noise in the Red and White Cabinet for almost eight months of government.

According to him, although Prabowo stated that there would be no cabinet reshuffle, the potentially disintegration of the nation due to the dispute between the four islands between Aceh and North Sumatra caused by the Decree of the Minister of Home Affairs (Kepmendagri) Number 300.2.2-2138 of 2025 could be one of the considerations.

"In my opinion, President Prabowo can reshuffle the cabinet, or at least replace ministers who have problems and make noise, such as the Minister of Home Affairs Tito Karnavian," said Iwan, Sunday, June 22, 2025.

He is worried that if the reshuffle is not carried out, it will potentially endanger the running of Prabowo's government in the future. This is because the president will continue to be busy to reduce the noise caused by his assistants in the cabinet, instead of running government programs.

"The last example is of course what is the motive and urgency of the issuance of the Ministry of Home Affairs' Decree regarding the four islands. In my opinion, Tito may not have understood the logical consequences of handing the 4 islands over to North Sumatra. The potential for re-insurgency by GAM must know, he has predicted the potential for inter-trivial conflict because Tito is a former National Police Chief, the 4th Star Police General, the former Commander of Densus 88 as well. For Aceh, the 4 islands are a matter of self-esteem that will be maintained by them whatever the consequences are," explained Iwan.

He suspected that there was a hidden motive behind the incident. Remember, Minister of Home Affairs Tito and Governor of North Sumatra Bobby Nasution are known to the public as close people and the son-in-law of the 7th President of the Republic of Indonesia, Joko Widodo (Jokowi).

"So I see it has something to do with Jokowi too. In my opinion, in this case, Jokowi and his group still want to show that they are still strong and have power in the current government," said Iwan.


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