Jakarta 2024 Pilkada Survey: Electability Of Anies And Ahok Teras, Kaesang Paling Buncit
JAKARTA - The founder and lead researcher of the Indonesian Political Indicators survey institute Burhanuddin Muhtadi said PSI General Chair Kaesang Pangarep still had not much attention from Jakarta residents as a candidate for governor (cagub).
"It seems that Jakarta residents have not looked at Mas Kaesang as a candidate for regional leader in Jakarta," said Burhanuddin when describing the release of the survey as monitored through the Indonesian Political Indicators YouTube channel in Jakarta, Thursday, July 25, which was confiscated by Antara.
This, he continued, was based on the results of the latest survey by Indonesian Political Indicators in June which recorded Kaesang's electability in a number of simulations.
Based on an open simulation (top of mind), Kaesang ranks 10th with an electability of 0.3 percent.
The top three were filled by Anies Baswedan (39.7 percent), Basuki Tjahaja Purnama alias Ahok (23.8 percent), and Ridwan Kamil (13.1 percent).
Kaesang also ranks tenth in the semi-open simulation of 40 names of Jakarta governor candidates (cagub) with an electability of 0.7 percent.
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In the simulation of 16 names, Kaesang only achieved 1.3 percent electability. Not much different, Kaesang obtained 1.7 percent electability in the 11-name simulation.
In the simulation of three names, the electability of President Joko Widodo's youngest son was far behind when compared to the electability of Anies Baswedan and Ridwan Kamil. He only achieved 5.7 percent electability.
Meanwhile, Anies Baswedan achieved 48.8 percent electability and Ridwan Kamil achieved 33.8 percent electability, while the remaining 11.7 percent said they did not know / did not answer.
Although Kaesang is more active in Jakarta, according to Burhanuddin, his electability is even greater in Central Java.
"In Central Java some time ago we released, Kaesang occupied the first place in Central Java, even though Mas Kaesang did not install billboards or campaigns in this province. He is more active in Jakarta," he said.
The Indonesian Political Indicators Survey on June 18 to 26, 2024, with a survey population consisting of Indonesian citizens in the Special Region of Jakarta who have the right to vote in the election, namely those aged 17 years or older, or are married when the survey takes place.
Sampling using the multistage random sampling method which was attended by 800 respondents. Face-to-face interviews with a margin of error of approximately 3.5 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.