The Risk Of The Niropositian Fat Coalition That Will Be Built By President Prabowo Subianto

JAKARTA The political style of Prabowo Subianto's version is said to have a number of negative impacts. Prabowo's plan to embrace many parties outside of his supporting parties in elections will trigger a greater division of power.

Chairman of the National Awakening Party (PKB) Muhaimin Iskandar seemed happy when he welcomed the presence of President-elect Prabowo to his headquarters on Wednesday (24/4/2024). The face of the man who is familiarly called Cak Imin is much different from a few months ago, when he often quipped the Minister of Defense.

Surya Paloh, Chairman of the National Democratic Party (Nasdem) is also the same. Even Surya Paloh and Prabowo have met three times since the election for the 2024 Presidential Election ended. The last time they met at Prabowo's house on Jalan Kertanegara Number 4, South Jakarta, last Thursday. Reportedly, the two discussed Nasdem's plan to join the Prabowo coalition.

"It can be positioned at any time, but working to help the government requires also a spirit, a spirit, and sincerity that prioritizes objectivity that keeps reason and critical power," Paloh told the media crew.

The meeting of Cak Imin and Surya Paloh after the presidential election was won by Prabowo-Gibran became a topic of conversation everywhere, although it seems that almost all people are not surprised to see this scene in the world of politics.

Prabowo and Surya Paloh and Cak Imin were on different roads during the 2024 presidential election. The man who was born on October 17, 1951, is a presidential candidate from the Advanced Indonesia Coalition (KIM) supported by nine political parties, namely Gerindra, Golkar Party, Democrat Party, PAN, PBB, PSI, Gelora Party, Garuda Party, and Prima Party.

Meanwhile, Surya and Nasdem carried the candidate pair Anies Baswedan-Muhaimin Iskandar, together with PKB and PKS who were in the Change Coalition.

However, after a series of election dramas, including lawsuits from the Anies-Muhaimin and Ganjar Pranowo-Mahfud MD camps, the general chairman of the three parties has repeatedly held meetings, including discussing coalition plans in the upcoming Prabowo government.

Voxpol Center Research and Consulting founder and CEO Pangi Syarwi Chaniago said oversize coalitions that are fat have the potential to produce a reckless and haphazard government, as has been the case for the past 10 years, making it difficult to realize the expected check and balance.

With a fat coalition, many policies have been made haphazard because there is no strong opposition. Yesterday there was indeed an option, but the term did not have veto rights, so there was no decision to pressure the government. This kind of opposition is not optimal," said Pangi during a conversation with VOI.

"Hopefully not all opposing parties join the government, not all of them are accommodated. Because this is all for the sake of democracy," he added.

Among the four parties that Prabowo is trying to embrace, namely NasDem, PKB, PKS and PDIP, Pangi predicts that only the last party that still has a great chance of staying outside the government or becoming an opposition.

Although the opportunity to move closer to Prabowo was not at all closed because the relationship between PDIP General Chair Megawati Sukarnoputri and the elected president was not a problem, Pangi emphasized that the coalition was more than just a personal relationship.

"Coalization is not a personal decision, but an ideological decision, a decision of the people's voice, a decision to protect democracy. This is more than just being happy and unhappy or likes and dislikes," said Pangi.

Presidential Candidate Prabowo Subianto visited PKB Chairman Muhaimin Iskandar or Cak Imin at the PKB DPP Office, Jakarta, Wednesday, April 24. (VOI/Nailin In Saroh)

Meanwhile, political analyst Karyono Wibowo assessed that the increasing number of coalition ranks in the Prabowo-Gibran team was likened to a double-edged knife.

On the one hand, Karyono assessed that the fat coalition could have a positive impact, namely creating government stability. Prabowo's class politics towards opponents in the presidential election is carried out to overcome the problem of presidentialism in the midst of a multiparty system. Because, according to Karyono, the problem of the presidential system usually occurs when combined with a multiparty system.

"Problems often arise when there is fragmentation and polarization that has an impact on political attitudes in parliament that can interfere with the relationship between executive institutions with the legislature," Karyono said, citing Kompas.

But on the other hand, the coalition formed from compromise can have an ineffective and efficient impact on government. That is why Karyono believes opposition parties are still needed to control the course of government.

The fat coalition often causes the government to be ineffective and inefficient. Moreover, if the basic principle of forming a government cabinet is merely interpreted as sharing power, then the orientation of national development can shift to just fulfilling the interests of the group," said the Executive Director of the Indonesia Public Institute,

"So that there is a check and balance which is expected to minimize the occurrence of deviation from power (abuse of power)," he added.

Cak Imin's meeting with the elected president Prabowo Subianto so that it led to speculation that the fat coalition was actually not something strange according to Indonesian Political Indicators Researcher, Bawono Kumoro. According to Bawono, the meeting was a reflection of PKB's attitude in accepting the results of the 2024 presidential election. In addition, he also saw PKB looking for coalition opportunities in the new government.

"The meeting of the general chairmen of PKB Cak Imin and Prabowo Subianto can be seen as a reflection of PKB's political stance as one of the political parties supporting candidate pairs 01 has wholeheartedly accepted the results of the 2024 presidential election and sought opportunities to form a coalition in the Prabowo Subianto-Gibran Rakabuming Raka government in the future rather than taking on the role of opposition for the next five years," Bawono told reporters.

In addition, he also assessed that PKB did not have DNA as an opposition party while taking part on the national political stage. So that it is possible for other political parties that previously supported Anies-Cak Imin and Ganjar-Mahfud to follow PKB's steps.

"Especially as long as they take part on the national political stage, PKB does not have DNA as an opposition party. It is not impossible that the PKB political steps will also be followed by other political parties carrying candidate pairs 01 and 03 such as the NasDem Party and PPP," he said.