This Survey Institute Predicts 8 Political Parties Pass To Senayan, PAN And PPP Bounce

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Elections and Strategic Research Institute (INDEX) Research predicts that eight political parties will qualify for Senayan or gain electability above four percent as a threshold requirement.

"Eight political parties are predicted to pass the parliamentary threshold. Meanwhile, several parties are in danger of being kicked out of Senayan", said INDEX Research researcher, Reza Reinald, in a written statement received in Jakarta, Thursday, April 7, as reported by Antara.

The results of a survey conducted by the agency show that several political parties still have electability below four percent. Among these parties, PPP only won 2.1 percent electability and PAN 1.5 percent.

The rest are new parties, namely the Ummat Party with 1.2 percent and Gelora with 1.1 percent. Next is Perindo at 0.9 percent, Hanura at 0.7 percent, PBB at 0.4 percent, PKPI at 0.3 percent, and Berkarya at 0.1 percent.

He said the party that supported the postponement of the election, its electability rose 1.5 percent. But still struggling to penetrate the threshold to survive in Senayan.

In addition, INDEX Research describes the parties that top the electability. The first position was occupied by PDIP with 17.5 percent electability, followed by Gerindra with 13.0 percent and Golkar with 8.3 percent.

"PDIP, Gerindra, and Golkar again controlled the top three electabilities, while PSI broke the 6.1 percent mark", said Reza.

According to Reza, the increase in the electability of the Golkar Party has brought it back to its position last year. Golkar was threatened by the Democrats who gained a surge in electability during the KLB turmoil which ultimately failed to roll out.

Not only that, coupled with the Golkar maneuver that pushed for the extension of President Jokowi's term of office to three terms. This gains support from Jokowi's voters, he explained.

"In addition to Golkar and PSI, PKB also experienced a 6.4 percent increase in electability", he said.

Among the opposition parties, only Democrats experienced an increase in electability, namely 5.4 percent, while PKS fell 4.8 percent.

The survey was conducted from March 21 to 30, 2022 on 1,200 people representing all provinces and randomly selected stratified. Face-to-face interviews with the application of health protocols. The margin of error is around 2.9 percent and the confidence level is 95 percent.