Low Electability, What's The Reason Prabowo Chooses Gibran To Be A Vice Presidential Candidate?

Prabowo Subianto with Gibran Rakabuming Raka/DOK Instagram @prabowo

YOGYAKARTA The eldest son of President Joko Widodo who also serves as Deputy Mayor of Solo, Gibran Rakabuming Raka is officially announced as a vice presidential candidate who will accompany Prabowo Subianto in the 2024 presidential election. So, what is the reason Prabowo chose Gibran to be vice presidential candidate?

The choice of Gibran as Prabowo's companion is quite interesting, considering that his electability has never been higher than Erick Tohir, who was previously included in Prabowo's vice presidential candidate.

For information, based on IPSOS Public Affairs survey data on October 1-10, 2023, Erick Tohir's name was ranked first with 24.86 percent. Followed by Ridwan Kamil 12.74 percent, Mahfud MD 12.43 percent, Sandiaga Uni 12.33 percent, and Gibran Rakabuming Raka 5.88 percent.

Next, in the simulation, Prabowo-Gibran's name has a lower winning potential than Prabowo-Erick.

According to the IPSOS Survey, Prabowo-Erick held 33.20 percent of the vote, beating Ganjar-Mahfud 31.51 percent and Anies-Muhaimin 21.84 percent.

Meanwhile, Prabowo-Gibran only won 29.62 percent, slightly superior to Anies-Muhaimin 22.61 percent, and lost to Ganjar-Sandiaga 32.74 percent.

Meanwhile, according to a survey from the Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) on October 16-18, 2023, Gibran's name only got 20.9 percent. The first rank is Erick Tohir 40 percent.

Launching VOI, Executive Director of the Indonesian Public Institute (IPI), Karyono Wibowo has his own analysis regarding the choice of Gibran as Prabowo's companion in the 2024 presidential election.

Karyono said Prabowo Subianto wanted to take advantage of Gibran's status as Jokowi's son, who incidentally is the current president.

"Why did Prabowo join Gibran? This is part of a strategy. To win the presidential election, Prabowo wants to increase support from outside his voters. In the 2014 and 2019 presidential elections, Prabowo lost in Central Java and East Java. With the Gibran-Prabowo duet, it is hoped that it can increase votes," said Karyono.

In addition, what Prabowo wants to capitalize on is his father Gibran. Until now, Jokowi is still the president, the highest authority holder. Prabowo could use this power instrument," said Karyono again.

He said Prabowo had also calculated that the 2024 presidential election would take place in two rounds.

"In addition, they also calculated that if for example two rounds Prabowo against Ganjar, Anies' voters would be transferred to Prabowo," explained Karyono.

The reason Prabowo proposed Gibran as the next vice presidential candidate was because he had lost three times in the presidential election contestation.

For information, Prabowo has participated in the presidential election three times. However, three times he lost.

The first defeat occurred in 2009, when he ran as Vice President Megawati Soekarnoputri. At that time, the couple who had the slogan 'Mega-Pro' then lost to Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono.

Prabowo again tried his luck as a presidential candidate in the 2014 presidential election. He appointed Hatta Rajasa as his vice presidential candidate. However, despite having strong support, the Prabowo-Hatta duo lost to Joko Widodo who was paired with Jusuf Kalla.

Prabowo completed his failure three times in a row in the 2019 presidential election when he was paired with Sandiaga Uno. But he lost to the Jokowi-Ma'ruf Amin pair.

Senda with Karyono, a political expert and founder of the Kedai KOPI survey institute, Hendri Satrio, assessed that the reason Prabowo chose Gibran as a vice presidential candidate was because he was considered to be able to raise his electability level in the presidential election. This is because Gibran is the son of the president.

"Because Gibran is the president's son, the current ruler. It can increase Prabowo's breaking power. Prabowo really wants to win after losing a lot in the previous election," Hendri told VOI.

Meanwhile, according to the Executive Director of the Voxpol Center Research and Consulting Pangwi Syarwi Chaniago, Prabowo's confidence level will increase if he and Gibran. Prabowo feels that the support from the current authorities can smooth out his ambition to become the next ruler.

Level confidence Prabowo does not rise if not with Gibran. Pairing with the president's son is everyone's dream. Who doesn't want to be paired with the president's son? There is pride in being paired with the president's son, especially on the date Jokowi's voting is still the president," said Pangwi.

"The only reason Prabowo isRMing Gibran is because he is Jokowi's son. That's all. It will be easier to win if you take the president's son. If his son is in Prabowo's hands, it is impossible for Jokowi not to support Prabowo? The issue of electability can change later," said Pangwi.

That's information about the reason why Prabowo chose Gibran as a vice presidential candidate. Get news updates of other options only on VOI.ID.