SMRC Survey Calls Ganjar Electability After Declaration Far From Passing Prabowo

Ganjar Pranowo (Photo via Central Java Provincial Government)

JAKARTA - The survey institute Saiful Mujani Research & Consulting has re-released the results of a survey related to the electability of three figures who have the potential to become presidential candidates in the 2024 presidential election.

As a result, Ganjar Pranowo's electability far outperformed Prabowo Subianto and Anies Baswedan in the simulation of three closed names.

"In the simulation of closed choice of 3 names, Ganjar received the most support of 39.2 percent, followed by Prabowo with 32.1 percent, and 19.7 percent. Not yet 8.9 percent," said SMRC Research Director Deni Irvani Saiful in a virtual survey release, Friday 12 May (12/5/2024).

The population of this survey is all Indonesian citizens who have the right to vote in general elections, namely those who are 17 years old or older, or are already married when the survey is conducted.

From that population, 1,220 respondents were randomly selected using the multistage random sampling method.

The response rate (respondents who can be interviewed validly) is 1,020 or 84 percent. A total of 1,020 respondents were analyzed.

The survey margin of error with the sample size is estimated at 3.1 percent at a 95 percent confidence level (symple random sampling assumption). Selected respondents were interviewed face-to-face by interviewers who had been trained. Quality control of the interview results was conducted randomly by 20 percent of the total sample by supervisors by returning to the selected respondents (spot check).

In the quality control, no significant errors were found. The field interview time is April 30 - May 7, 2023.