Indextat Survey: If There Are 3 Candidates In The Presidential Election, Ganjar Disrupts Prabowo And Anies

Released survey results (Photo: Diah Ayu/VOI)

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Index survey institute released a poll on vice presidential and political party candidates for the 2024 General Election. The indexate conducted a presidential election simulation with three names of candidates who had high electability, namely Ganjar Pranowo, Prabowo Subianto, and Anies Baswedan. As a result, Ganjar defeated Prabowo and Anies with 35.5 percent electability. Meanwhile, 11 percent of voters have not yet been determined. "We will convert it into the top 3 names. Ganjar's electability is at 35.5 percent, Prabowo at 28.8 percent, then Anies at 24.7 percent," said Rikola Fedri in delivering a survey in the Central Jakarta area, Sunday, November 6. Rikola explained, with the results of this survey, it is predicted that no pair of presidential and vice presidential candidates will receive up to 50 percent of the votes during the election. So, there will be two rounds if the presidential election is held today. "The interesting finding in our survey is, since last year in October 2021, 80 percent of voters in Indonesia have made choices for their presidential candidates and have narrowed further to the three candidates today," explained Rikola. Then, the Indistat conducted a survey of presidential candidates selected by respondents with a simulation of 10 names. As a result, the highest electability of presidential candidates remained at Ganjar with 28.1 percent, following Prabowo 22.1 percent, Anies Baswedan 17.3 percent. The next names are Ridwan Kamil with 8.7 percent, Sandiaga Uno 4.8 percent, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono 2.9 percent, Puan Maharani 2.6 percent, Abdul Muhaimin Iskandar 1.6 percent, Erick Thohir 1.1 percent, and Airlanggar Hartarto 0.3 percent. Undecided voters 10.5 percent. This survey was conducted on October 10-19 2022. A total of 1,200 respondents were randomly selected using the multistage random sampling method with a margin of error ± 2.8 percent at a 95 percent confidence level. Interviews are conducted face-to-face with interviewers who have been trained.