Indicator Survey: Prabowo's Electability Is Highest But "Threatened" Ganjar Pranowo, Anies Baswedan In Third Position

Executive Director of Indicators Burhanuddin Muhtadi. (Photo: Doc. Antara)

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Political Indicators Survey Institute released a poll on the electability of figures to become presidential candidates.

In a simulation of 33 names, Prabowo Subianto ranks the highest candidate for the respondent's choice of the presidential candidate. Prabowo received 21.9 percent of the electability, followed by Ganjar Pranowo with 19.8 percent in the second position, and Anies Baswedan with 10.5 percent in the third position.

The Executive Director of Indicators, Burhanuddin Muhtadi, said that although Prabowo was chosen the most, the election rate was quite tight with Ganjar.

"Based on this simulation of 33 names, there really is no dominant candidate. Even Pak Prabowo who is superior, his superiority is not significant compared to Ganjar Pranowo. Don't forget the margin of error is 2.9 percent plus-minus", said Burhan in a virtual survey presentation on Sunday, April 3rd.

Furthermore, Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono was chosen by 5.4 percent of respondents, Ridwan Kamil 5.3 percent, Sandiaga Salahuddin Uno 4 percent, Khofifah Indar Parawansa 2.1 percent, Tri Rismaharini 1.7 percent, Susi Pudjiastuti 1.3 percent, Ma'ruf Amin 1.3 percent, Erick Thohir 1.2 percent, and several other names under 1 percent.

Then, the Indicator again asked the presidential candidate questions with a simulation of 19 names. Prabowo still ranks the highest at 22.4 percent. However, Ganjar's electability rate is getting closer, which is 21.6 percent. The third position is still followed by Anies Baswedan with 17.1 percent.

Furthermore, in the simulation of 7 names, there was a shift in the position of the figure who was most chosen as a presidential candidate. Ganjar became a first place with an electability of 27.6 percent. Prabowo's position was shifted to second with electability of 27.4 percent, followed by Anies with 22 percent.

"If we look at the simulation of 7 names, Ganjar and Prabowo are even. Even with a slight difference of 0.2 percent, Ganjar is above Pak Prabowo. This means that there are some names that if we take out (in the simulation) they run to Ganjar and other names, said Burhanuddin.

For information, this survey was conducted on February 11-21, 2022. The population of this survey is Indonesian citizens who have the right to vote in general elections, namely those who are 17 years old or older, or were married when the survey was conducted.

The survey was conducted using a multistage random sampling method using a base sample of 1,200 people. The survey's margin of error is estimated at 2.9 percent at the 95 percent confidence level.