LSJ Survey: Prabowo Voters For The 2019 Loyal Election, Will Support Again In The 2024 Presidential Election

JAKARTA - The Jakarta Survey Institute (LSJ) released the results of their latest survey on vote migration ahead of the 2024 General Election. As a result, Prabowo Subianto's voters were considered loyal.

Research Director of LSJ Fetra Ardianto revealed that Prabowo's voters in the 2019 Election were loyal because they again supported the General Chair of the Gerindra Party in the 2024 General Election. "The majority of Prabowo-Sandi voters turned out to be loyal in supporting Prabowo Subianto, if the Indonesian Minister of Defense advances in the 2024 presidential election later," he said in a release, Wednesday, January 18, was confiscated by Antara., namely Prabowo, Ganjar Pranowo and Anies Baswedan, then Jokowi-Ma'ruf voters in the 2019 presidential election dropped their support on Prabowo Subianto and Ganjar Pranowo almost as much as possible. Meanwhile, the majority of Prabowo-Sandi voters turned out to be loyal to support Prabowo in the 2024 election. "Thus, the issue stating that the majority of Prabowo Subianto voters in the 2019 presidential election moved to Anies Baswedan was refuted by the results of the LSJ survey this time," he said.

The results of the analysis show that it is true that there was a migration of support from Prabowo voters in the 2019 Election to Anies Baswedan, but it is not significant. He said when the LSJ asked respondents who would be elected if the 2024 presidential election was followed by three names, then only 20.5 percent of Prabowo voters in the 2019 presidential election claimed to choose Anies Baswedan. "So it is very far to be called the majority," he said. The results of the analysis of the LSJ confirm that the majority of Prabowo voters in the 2019 or 62.2 percent remain loyal to the General Chair of the Gerindra Party if the Pilpres is currently held. "These in terminology of public opinion surveys are referred to as loyal voters. Then as many as 10.5 percent of Prabowo voters in the 2019 presidential election shifted to Ganjar Pranowo and the rest (6.8 percent) could not determine the choice (undecided)," he said. Then, the issue of migration of supporters of Prabowo Subianto to Anies Baswedan turned out to be dominant in cyberspace (social media). Reality at the grassroots as monitored from the LSJ survey confirm that Prabowo supporters are loyal voters who are not easily swayed by issues circulating in cyberspace. The loyal Prabowo Subianto voters are mostly the lower communities living in areas such as farmers, fishermen, workers, informal sector workers, and critical young generation who are not easily affected by social media. "In addition to the issue of the migration of Prabowo Subianto voters to Anies Baswedan, another narrative that has also been widely circulated in cyberspace is the shift of the majority of Jokowi supporters to Ganjar Pranowo. However, the reality in the field as detected by the results of the LSJ survey is in fact different from that narrative," he said. He said.