JAKARTA - The Indonesian government has not been able to predict when the peak of the spread of COVID-19 will be. This is because the epidemiologist from Australia's Griffith University, Dicky Budiman, said that the government has not been able to trace the spread of the virus.
"There are still many cases of COVID-19 infection in the community that have not been found," Dicky told VOI, Tuesday, July 28.
Dicky said, although the accumulative number of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia has reached 100,303, this figure cannot yet be interpreted as the peak of the spread of the virus. He even said that the potential for additional positive cases would continue.
"This can be seen from the positive rate which is always above 10 percent," said Dicky.
He further explained the reasons for the increase in daily cases. First, he said, this happened because the public seemed to ignore the COVID-19 pandemic. Second, the addition of daily cases from the office cluster is also a cause.
Dicky assessed that many offices are not yet disciplined in implementing health protocols. Finally, is a hoax that makes people ignore the virus.
To suppress this virus, he continued, the government still had to move to carry out testing, tracing and isolating. In addition, the government must start thinking about a risk communication strategy with the aim of changing the behavior of people who have started to ignore the spread of COVID-19.
It is known, the Chairperson of the COVID-19 Handling Task Force Doni Monardo said that his party could not confirm when the peak of the spread of COVID-19 in Indonesia. He reasoned that the rise and fall of daily cases in each region made the peak of the spread unpredictable.
"We do not yet know when the peak will arrive because we see developments, there are areas where there is a decline and increase. This is fluctuating," said Doni, Monday, July 27.
Previously, President Joko Widodo (Jokowi) predicted that the peak of the spread of COVID-19 would occur in August or September. He conveyed this belief because he saw the number of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia.
"If you look at the figures, the peak estimate will be in August or September. The final estimate," said Jokowi some time ago.
But before that, President Jokowi had also given his prediction regarding the peak of the spread of this virus in the community. He said, COVID-19 is likely to reach its peak in May so that July begins to decline.
Most recently, COVID-19 cases in Indonesia continue to increase. Based on data from the Ministry of Health (Kemenkes), Monday, July 27 at 12.00 WIB, there were an additional 1,525 positive cases recorded. So that the total accumulation of COVID-19 cases in Indonesia has now reached 100,303 people.
Meanwhile, for the cases recovered, there were 1,518 people with the total number of recovered cases reaching 55,354 people and the number of positive confirmed cases who died increased by 57 people and a total of 4,838 people.
The province with the most new cases was in DKI Jakarta with 467 new cases and 19,592 total cases. Then, East Java with 273 new cases and a total of 273 cases. East Java is also the province with the most accumulated cases in Indonesia.
Furthermore, Central Java has 210 new cases with a total of 8,622 cases. South Sulawesi with 110 new cases and a total of 8,991 cases. Bali with 62 new cases and a total of 3,219 cases. Then, Papua has 56 new cases and a total of 2,945 cases.
The province with the most cases recovered today belongs to West Java with an additional 406 cases recovered. Followed by East Java with an increase of 362 recovered cases, South Sulawesi with an increase of 132 recovered cases, and Central Java with an increase of 115 recovered cases.
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