LSI Survey: RK-Suswono Electability 51.8 Percent, Pramono-Rano 28.4 Percent, Dharma-Kun 3.2 Percent

Paslon gubernur dan wakil gubernur DKI Jakarta Ridwan Kamil - Suswono dan mantan Gubernur DKI Jakarta Sutiyoso/DOK ANTARA

JAKARTA - The Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) has conducted a poll on the electability of the prospective Governor-Deputy Governor of Jakarta in the 2024 Pilkada. As a result, the Ridwan Kamil-Suswono pair received the highest electability.

The Ridwan Kamil-Suswono pair had 51.8 percent electability, Pramono Anung-Rano Karno 28.4 percent, and Dharma Pongrekun-Kun Wardana 3.2 percent.

LSI Executive Director Djayadi Hanan said, if the electability dynamics of the cagub-cawagub did not change, then the RK-Suswono pair could win the Jakarta Pilkada in one round.

"For example, if there is no change in the future, if for example the Pilkada is held the day when we carry out the survey, it means that Ridwan Kamil has crossed the 50 percent limit which is required to be declared the elected governor in Jakarta," Djayadi said in a virtual survey presentation, Wednesday, September 18.

However, Djayadi assessed that there are still many Jakarta residents who have revealed that their choices can change during the pilkada stage. Only 35.3 percent of respondents claimed to have made a choice a few months before the voting day on 27 November.

"There are 64 percent of these voters who only really decided their choice when the official campaign started, a few days before the D-day, and 10 percent stated that they only decided on the D-day of voting. So, the election was still fluid," explained Djayadi.

For information, this survey was conducted in the period 6-12 September with a total sample of 1,200 respondents who are residents of DKI Jakarta aged over 17 years or married.

The withdrawal of respondents was obtained through a multistage random sampling technique with a margin of error of up to 2.9 percent and a confidence level of 95 percent with the assumption of simple random sampling.