High-Electability Paslons Are Considered To Lose During The Jakarta Pilkada, Proven In Fauzi Bowo And Ahok

Photo: Doc. VOI

Political Communication Analyst Hendri Satrio assesses that there is a unique phenomenon in the Jakarta Pilkada, namely pairs of candidates who have high electability based on the survey will even lose.

According to him, so far no candidate has ever had the highest electability surveys to win the Jakarta Pilkada.

"In the past, Fauzi Bowo, in 2012, had a high survey, lost to Jokowi. Ahok was the same, 2017 had a high survey, fell by Anies, so I think usually, whose surveys were high, they lost in the Jakarta Pilkada," said the man who is familiarly called Hensat in Jakarta, quoted from Antara, Sunday, September 8.

According to Hensat, the victory of candidate pairs in the Jakarta Pilkada is determined by the strong grassroots base of the supporting party.

Hensat continued, this history has been proven since the Jakarta Pilkada was held directly in 2007 because only one candidate pair was supported by many political parties to win the competition.

This happened when Fauzi Bowo beat Adang Daradjatun from PKS in 2007.

"The rest? Jokowi won because of the grassroots of the PDI Perjuangan in 2012, but Anies Baswedan in 2017 also had the PKS-Gerindra grassroots managed to beat Basuki Tjahja Purnama which was promoted by PDI Perjuangan, Golkar, Hanura, and Nasdem," he continued.

Currently, the Jakarta Pilkada is enlivened by big names such as Ridwan Kamil from Golkar and Pramono Anung from the PDI-P. Until now, Hensat has not been able to confirm which electability is the highest and has the potential to win the seat of Governor of Jakarta.