JAKARTA - The Meteorology, Climatology and Geophysics Agency (BMKG) predicts that there is still the potential for a significant increase in rainfall in a number of parts of Indonesia. Moderate to heavy rain is predicted to occur until July 11, 2024.

The Deputy for Meteorology of the BMKG, Guswanto, revealed that recently there has been heavy rain in a number of areas of the country, although in July and August this year it is included in the peak period of the dry season.

"It is true that most parts of Indonesia occur in July and August 2024, which is 77.27%, of which 63.95% of the duration of the dry season is predicted to occur for 3 to 15 basics. However, it does not mean that in the dry period there will be no rain at all, there will still be rain, even though the range is below 50 mm/basearly," explained Guswanto, quoted from an official statement, quoted on Sunday, July 7.

Guswanto revealed, in the next week, there is still the potential for a significant increase in rainfall in a number of parts of Indonesia.

This phenomenon is caused by significant regional and global scale atmospheric dynamics. Among other things, monitoring the activity of the mid-gradent oscillation (MJO) phenomenon, Kelvin waves and rossby equatorial in most parts of Java, Kalimantan, Sulawesi, Maluku Islands, and most of Papua.

In addition, the warm sea level temperature in the waters of the area around Indonesia contributes to providing conditions that support significant rain cloud growth in Indonesia.

"This phenomenon of the atmosphere triggers the dynamics of the weather which results in the rain in most parts of Indonesia," he explained.

Meanwhile, Head of the BMKG Public Meteorology Center Andri Ramdhani predicts that the combination of the influence of these weather phenomena will cause the potential for moderate to heavy rain accompanied by lightning or strong winds in most parts of Indonesia from 5 to 11 July 2024.

The areas in question are Sumatra Island, Java Island, Kalimantan Island, Sulawesi Island, Maluku Island, and Papua Island.

Andri appealed to the public to be aware of the possibility of rain that could cause flooding and landslides. Mainly people who live in hilly areas, highlands, also along watersheds.

"While it is still raining, it would be better to use it to save water. Save and use water wisely, so that it has water reserves when the peak of the dry season hits our territory later," he added.


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